Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aerostar vs Politehnica Galati

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 1 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aerostar play Politehnica Galati in the Liga 3 - Seria 1 2010/2011. Aerostar are favorites here. Recently, Aerostar averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.94 conceded. Politehnica Galati averaged 1.3 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. In past meetings, Aerostar won 4, Politehnica Galati won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 23, 2012 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Aerostar and 1.38 for Politehnica Galati. This points to a Aerostar double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Aerostar
15%
Draws
27%
Politehnica Galati
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aerostar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • Aerostar picked up more points recently compared to Politehnica Galati.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
Aerostar Clean Sheet 17%
Politehnica Galati Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aerostar Politehnica Galati
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 5 3
Losses 15 20
Goals Scored 1.38 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.94 2.03

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2012 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Politehnica Galati vs Aerostar
0:1
Aug 26, 2011 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Aerostar vs Politehnica Galati
2:1
Apr 1, 2011 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Aerostar vs Politehnica Galati
0:0
Sep 24, 2010 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Politehnica Galati vs Aerostar
1:2
May 11, 2010 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Aerostar vs Politehnica Galati
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aerostar 56 / 100
Politehnica Galati 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aerostar Politehnica Galati

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aerostar Win (1)
Secondary Pick Aerostar & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16%
2.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Aerostar attacking → ← attacking Politehnica Galati

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aerostar scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Politehnica Galati let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Aerostar went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Politehnica Galati lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 24
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1CSM Bacau26233078:1272
2SC Bacau26195257:1162
3Roman26154743:1849
4CSM Pascani261151040:4138
5Otelul 2261061037:3136
6Panciu261131241:3336
7Politehnica Galati261131228:3236
8Ceahlaul II261031327:3633
9FCM Onesti26951229:3732
10Aerostar26941334:4531
11Ozana Targu Neamt26931426:6430
12Foresta Suceava26921531:3829
13CSM Focsani26731626:4524
14Luceafarul Mihai26332019:7312