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Aetos Ofryniou vs PAOK Dytikou

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aetos Ofryniou play PAOK Dytikou in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Aetos Ofryniou averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. PAOK Dytikou averaged 0.96 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. In past meetings, Aetos Ofryniou won 1, PAOK Dytikou won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 11, 2026 ended 4:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Aetos Ofryniou and 1.88 for PAOK Dytikou. This points to a Aetos Ofryniou double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Aetos Ofryniou
21%
Draws
26%
PAOK Dytikou
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Aetos Ofryniou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Aetos Ofryniou picked up more points recently compared to PAOK Dytikou.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 1.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Aetos Ofryniou Clean Sheet 10%
PAOK Dytikou Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aetos Ofryniou PAOK Dytikou
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 11 4
Draws 4 8
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.57 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Aetos Ofryniou vs PAOK Dytikou
4:2
Oct 12, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
PAOK Dytikou vs Aetos Ofryniou
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aetos Ofryniou 50 / 100
PAOK Dytikou 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aetos Ofryniou PAOK Dytikou

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aetos Ofryniou Win (1)
Secondary Pick Aetos Ofryniou & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.7%
2.22
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Aetos Ofryniou attacking → ← attacking PAOK Dytikou

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aetos Ofryniou scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

PAOK Dytikou let in goals in 85% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Aetos Ofryniou went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

PAOK Dytikou lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 20
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
2.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Panthrakikos22163352:1651
2Xanthi22128248:1744
3Doxa Dramas22134541:2543
4Iraklis Thermaikou22108431:1838
5Poseidonas Michanionas22810428:2234
6Aetos Ofryniou22103937:3733
7PAOK Kristonis2278724:2829
8Krya Vrysi2268829:3026
9Thermaikos FC22641219:3222
10Kilkisiakos22561126:3821
11PAOK Dytikou22371221:4216
12Orestis Orestiadas22112012:634