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AF Calahorra vs Cenicero

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 16 2009/2010
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

AF Calahorra play Cenicero in the Tercera Division - Group 16 2009/2010. AF Calahorra are favorites here. Recently, AF Calahorra averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. Cenicero averaged 0.38 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. In past meetings, AF Calahorra won 3, Cenicero won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 6, 2011 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.67 for AF Calahorra and 0.74 for Cenicero. This points to a AF Calahorra double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
AF Calahorra
6%
Draws
4%
Cenicero
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: AF Calahorra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • AF Calahorra has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Cenicero.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for AF Calahorra.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera Division - Group 16 2009/2010 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
AF Calahorra Clean Sheet 20%
Cenicero Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AF Calahorra Cenicero
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 1
Draws 4 3
Losses 22 27
Goals Scored 0 0.38
Goals Conceded 0 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Cenicero vs AF Calahorra
1:1
Sep 26, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
AF Calahorra vs Cenicero
4:3
Jan 31, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
AF Calahorra vs Cenicero
1:0
Sep 19, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Cenicero vs AF Calahorra
1:0
May 10, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 16
Cenicero vs AF Calahorra
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AF Calahorra 85 / 100
Cenicero 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AF Calahorra Cenicero

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AF Calahorra scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Cenicero let in goals in 90% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

AF Calahorra went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Cenicero lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cenicero
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Oyonesa38279276:1590
2Alfaro382855111:2289
3Haro Deportivo38284691:2288
4Anguiano38258596:3783
5CD Calahorra38255893:3080
6Naxara38229768:2875
7River Ebro382081067:3268
8Arnedo381871365:4961
9Agoncillo381761560:6657
10San Marcial381591464:5154
11Calasancio381391635:5448
12Vianes381181954:7341
13Berceo38982132:6735
14Pradejon38972236:7434
15AF Calahorra38962338:9233
16Aldeano381022638:8632
17Cenicero38872329:6931
18Villegas38872335:9331
19Yague38652736:9023
20CCD Alberite38552827:10120