Sport Picks
AF Elbasani vs Flamurtari
Albania
Albanian Cup Elbasan Arena, Elbasani 
Match Events
30'
30'
Lajthia X.
59'
59'
Oshafi A.
103'
103'
Trashi L.
Penalty Missed
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Flamurtari
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Flamurtari haven't matched AF Elbasani's recent run of results.
- Flamurtari are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- AF Elbasani have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor AF Elbasani, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- AF Elbasani have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
AF Elbasani Clean Sheet 10%
Flamurtari Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AF Elbasani | Flamurtari |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.44 | 1.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 14, 2026 Abissnet Superiore
Flamurtari vs AF Elbasani
1:2
Jan 14, 2026 Abissnet Superiore
AF Elbasani vs Flamurtari
1:1
Jan 10, 2026 Albanian Cup
AF Elbasani vs Flamurtari
2:1
Nov 3, 2025 Abissnet Superiore
Flamurtari vs AF Elbasani
0:1
Aug 23, 2025 Abissnet Superiore
AF Elbasani vs Flamurtari
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AF Elbasani Compare
Top Goalscorer Lajthia X.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ibraimi D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Flamurtari Compare
Top Goalscorer Oshafi A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AF Elbasani 18 / 100
Flamurtari 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AF Elbasani Flamurtari
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Flamurtari Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: AF Elbasani scored in 88% of their last 32 outings.
Flamurtari let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: AF Elbasani remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
AF Elbasani VS Flamurtari
1.63 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 40%
50% Over 3.5 40%
Recent Form & Match History
AF Elbasani
(Home) 06 Aug
AF Elbasani
1 : 3 Partizani
16 Jul
BATE
1 : 0 AF Elbasani
07 Jul
AF Elbasani
1 : 1 BATE
01 Jul
AF Elbasani
2 : 1 Petrovac
31 May
Vllaznia
1 : 2 AF Elbasani
Page 1 of 7
06 Aug
AF Elbasani
1 : 3 Partizani
07 Jul
AF Elbasani
1 : 1 BATE
01 Jul
AF Elbasani
2 : 1 Petrovac
24 May
AF Elbasani
3 : 0 Dinamo City
17 May
AF Elbasani
0 : 4 KF Egnatia
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Flamurtari
(Away) 10 May
Vllaznia
2 : 0 Flamurtari
06 May
Flamurtari
1 : 1 Teuta
02 May
Partizani
1 : 4 Flamurtari
27 Apr
Flamurtari
3 : 1 Dinamo City
18 Apr
KF Egnatia
0 : 2 Flamurtari
Page 1 of 6
10 May
Vllaznia
2 : 0 Flamurtari
02 May
Partizani
1 : 4 Flamurtari
18 Apr
KF Egnatia
0 : 2 Flamurtari
21 Mar
Bylis
2 : 1 Flamurtari
28 Feb
Teuta
1 : 1 Flamurtari
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
KF Tirana -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Skenderbeu Korca 5
Basania FC 2
Iliria Kruja 5
Luzi 1
Dinamo City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Besa Kavaje 5
Shkumbini Peqin 0
Kukesi 3
Terbuni Puka 1
Bylis -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Laci 3
Kelcyra 0
AF Luftetari 2
KF Oriku 0
Vllaznia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pogradeci 4
Delvina 0
Korabi Peshkopi 4
Koplik 1
Teuta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vora 6
Maliqi 2
Erzeni Shijak 0
Librazhd 2
KF Egnatia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Apolonia Fier 3
Beselidhja Lezha 0
Lushnja 2
Butrinti Sarande 1
AF Elbasani -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Flamurtari 5
Kucove 0
KF Valbona -
Tomori Berat -
Partizani -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Burreli 3
Albanet 1
Kastrioti 3
KS Devolli 2
1/16-finals
KF Tirana -
TBD -
Skenderbeu Korca 4
Iliria Kruja 2
Dinamo City -
TBD -
Besa Kavaje 3
Kukesi 1
Bylis -
TBD -
Laci 2
AF Luftetari 0
Vllaznia -
TBD -
Pogradeci 4
Korabi Peshkopi 3
Teuta -
TBD -
Vora 2
Librazhd 1
KF Egnatia -
TBD -
Apolonia Fier 3
Lushnja 2
AF Elbasani -
TBD -
Flamurtari 9
Tomori Berat 0
Partizani -
TBD -
Burreli 5
Kastrioti 2
1/8-finals
KF Tirana 2
Skenderbeu Korca 1
Dinamo City 3
Besa Kavaje 0
Bylis 3
Laci 2
Vllaznia 1
Pogradeci 0
Teuta 2
Vora 0
KF Egnatia 1
Apolonia Fier 0
AF Elbasani 2
Flamurtari 1
Partizani 3
Burreli 0
Quarter-finals
KF Tirana 0
Dinamo City 4
Bylis 1
Vllaznia 3
Teuta 1
KF Egnatia 2
AF Elbasani 3
Partizani 2
Semi-finals
Dinamo City 2
Vllaznia 1
KF Egnatia 3
AF Elbasani 2
Final
Dinamo City 3
KF Egnatia 2
