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AF Elbasani vs Flamurtari Prediction & H2H Stats

Albania Albania

Albanian Cup 2025/2026 Elbasan Arena, Elbasani
Sat, Jan 10, 2026
2 - 1
03:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Lajthia X.
59' Event
Oshafi A.
103' Event
Trashi L.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

AF Elbasani in this Albanian Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
AF Elbasani
35%
Draws
22%
Flamurtari
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AF Elbasani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Flamurtari haven't matched AF Elbasani's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • AF Elbasani have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor AF Elbasani, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • AF Elbasani have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40.400000000000006%
AF Elbasani Clean Sheet 68%
Flamurtari Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AF Elbasani Flamurtari
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 12 6
Draws 9 12
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.45 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.15 1.02
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Abissnet Superiore
Flamurtari vs AF Elbasani
1:2
Jan 14, 2026 Abissnet Superiore
AF Elbasani vs Flamurtari
1:1
Jan 10, 2026 Albanian Cup
AF Elbasani vs Flamurtari
2:1
Nov 3, 2025 Abissnet Superiore
Flamurtari vs AF Elbasani
0:1
Aug 23, 2025 Abissnet Superiore
AF Elbasani vs Flamurtari
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AF Elbasani Compare

Top Goalscorer Lajthia X.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ibraimi D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.57

Flamurtari Compare

Top Goalscorer Oshafi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.57

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AF Elbasani 41 / 100
Flamurtari 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AF Elbasani Flamurtari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AF Elbasani Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AF Elbasani scored in 90% of their last 31 outings.

Flamurtari let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: AF Elbasani remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AF Elbasani VS Flamurtari
1.13 Goals Scored 0.67
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.17
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 17%
25% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

AF Elbasani

(Home)
20 Sept
KF Tirana
2 : 2
AF Elbasani
13 Sept
AF Elbasani
2 : 1
KF Egnatia
06 Sept
Dinamo City
2 : 1
AF Elbasani
29 Aug
AF Elbasani
1 : 1
Vllaznia
22 Aug
Laci
1 : 1
AF Elbasani
Page 1 of 7

Flamurtari

(Away)
20 Sept
Pogradeci
0 : 0
Flamurtari
16 Sept
Kastrioti
1 : 0
Flamurtari
11 Sept
Flamurtari
1 : 1
Burreli
06 Sept
Besa Kavaje
3 : 3
Flamurtari
10 May
Vllaznia
2 : 0
Flamurtari
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
KF Tirana -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Skenderbeu Korca 5
Basania FC 2
Iliria Kruja 5
Luzi 1
Dinamo City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Besa Kavaje 5
Shkumbini Peqin 0
Kukesi 3
Terbuni Puka 1
Bylis -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Laci 3
Kelcyra 0
AF Luftetari 2
KF Oriku 0
Vllaznia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pogradeci 4
Delvina 0
Korabi Peshkopi 4
Koplik 1
Teuta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vora 6
Maliqi 2
Erzeni Shijak 0
Sopoti Librazhd 2
KF Egnatia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Apolonia Fier 3
Beselidhja Lezha 0
Lushnja 2
Butrinti Sarande 1
AF Elbasani -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Flamurtari 5
Kucove 0
KF Valbona -
Tomori Berat -
Partizani -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Burreli 3
Albanet 1
Kastrioti 3
KS Devolli 2
1/16-finals
KF Tirana -
TBD -
Skenderbeu Korca 4
Iliria Kruja 2
Dinamo City -
TBD -
Besa Kavaje 3
Kukesi 1
Bylis -
TBD -
Laci 2
AF Luftetari 0
Vllaznia -
TBD -
Pogradeci 4
Korabi Peshkopi 3
Teuta -
TBD -
Vora 2
Sopoti Librazhd 1
KF Egnatia -
TBD -
Apolonia Fier 3
Lushnja 2
AF Elbasani -
TBD -
Flamurtari 9
Tomori Berat 0
Partizani -
TBD -
Burreli 5
Kastrioti 2
1/8-finals
KF Tirana 2
Skenderbeu Korca 1
Dinamo City 3
Besa Kavaje 0
Bylis 3
Laci 2
Vllaznia 1
Pogradeci 0
Teuta 2
Vora 0
KF Egnatia 1
Apolonia Fier 0
AF Elbasani 2
Flamurtari 1
Partizani 3
Burreli 0
Quarter-finals
KF Tirana 0
Dinamo City 4
Bylis 1
Vllaznia 3
Teuta 1
KF Egnatia 2
AF Elbasani 3
Partizani 2
Semi-finals
Dinamo City 2
Vllaznia 1
KF Egnatia 3
AF Elbasani 2
Final
Dinamo City 3
KF Egnatia 2