Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AF Elbasani vs KF Egnatia

Albania Albania

Abissnet Superiore 2025/2026 Air Albania Stadium, Tirana
AF Elbasani Logo

AF Elbasani

0 - 4
FT
KF Egnatia Logo

KF Egnatia

Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Kasa A.
29' Event
Bakayoko S.
36'
Lajthia X.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

KF Egnatia in this Abissnet Superiore 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored KF Egnatia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
AF Elbasani
30%
Draws
42%
KF Egnatia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: KF Egnatia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • KF Egnatia have won more games recently than AF Elbasani.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on KF Egnatia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.2%
AF Elbasani Clean Sheet 10%
KF Egnatia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AF Elbasani KF Egnatia
Matches Played 33 35
Wins 12 15
Draws 10 8
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.42 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Abissnet Superiore
AF Elbasani vs KF Egnatia
2:1
May 17, 2026 Abissnet Superiore
AF Elbasani vs KF Egnatia
0:4
Apr 22, 2026 Albanian Cup
AF Elbasani vs KF Egnatia
1:2
Apr 8, 2026 Albanian Cup
KF Egnatia vs AF Elbasani
1:1
Mar 20, 2026 Abissnet Superiore
AF Elbasani vs KF Egnatia
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AF Elbasani Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

KF Egnatia Compare

Top Goalscorer Bakayoko S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Medeiros F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AF Elbasani 18 / 100
KF Egnatia 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AF Elbasani KF Egnatia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KF Egnatia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AF Elbasani scored in 88% of their last 33 games.

KF Egnatia has conceded goals in 74% of their last 35 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

AF Elbasani has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

AF Elbasani VS KF Egnatia
1.13 Goals Scored 2.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

AF Elbasani

(Home)
20 Sept
KF Tirana
2 : 2
AF Elbasani
13 Sept
AF Elbasani
2 : 1
KF Egnatia
06 Sept
Dinamo City
2 : 1
AF Elbasani
29 Aug
AF Elbasani
1 : 1
Vllaznia
22 Aug
Laci
1 : 1
AF Elbasani
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KF Egnatia

(Away)
20 Sept
KF Egnatia
2 : 1
Partizani
13 Sept
AF Elbasani
2 : 1
KF Egnatia
04 Sept
KF Egnatia
2 : 1
Skenderbeu Korca
31 Aug
Vora
1 : 3
KF Egnatia
27 Aug
Lillestrom
2 : 1
KF Egnatia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KF Egnatia 3 3 0 0 8:1 37
2 AF Elbasani 3 2 0 1 5:5 37
3 Vllaznia 3 0 0 3 2:6 31
4 Dinamo City 3 1 0 2 2:5 27
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)