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AF Luftetari vs Apolonia Fier Prediction & H2H Stats

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026
AF Luftetari Logo

AF Luftetari

2 - 2
FT
Apolonia Fier Logo

Apolonia Fier

Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Asllanaj E.
45' Event
Ziaj A.
54' Event
Ikeocha P.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 game between AF Luftetari and Apolonia Fier finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
AF Luftetari
20%
Draws
11%
Apolonia Fier
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AF Luftetari

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AF Luftetari come out ahead of Apolonia Fier on wins alone.
  • AF Luftetari are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
AF Luftetari Clean Sheet 68%
Apolonia Fier Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AF Luftetari Apolonia Fier
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 5
Draws 9 7
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.07 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
AF Luftetari vs Apolonia Fier
2:2
Nov 29, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
AF Luftetari vs Apolonia Fier
0:2
Aug 30, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Apolonia Fier vs AF Luftetari
1:1
Feb 12, 2020 Albanian Cup
AF Luftetari vs Apolonia Fier
0:0
Jan 29, 2020 Albanian Cup
Apolonia Fier vs AF Luftetari
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AF Luftetari Compare

Top Goalscorer Ziaj A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ikeocha P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Apolonia Fier Compare

Top Goalscorer Asllanaj E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ndubuisi E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AF Luftetari 95 / 100
Apolonia Fier 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AF Luftetari Apolonia Fier

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AF Luftetari Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AF Luftetari found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Apolonia Fier let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: AF Luftetari remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AF Luftetari VS Apolonia Fier
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AF Luftetari

(Home)
09 May
AF Luftetari
1 : 2
Sopoti Librazhd
03 May
AF Luftetari
3 : 0
Pogradeci
25 Apr
Kastrioti
1 : 2
AF Luftetari
19 Apr
AF Luftetari
2 : 0
Burreli
11 Apr
Iliria Kruja
1 : 2
AF Luftetari
Page 1 of 6

Apolonia Fier

(Away)
03 May
Apolonia Fier
4 : 4
Burreli
25 Apr
Iliria Kruja
2 : 1
Apolonia Fier
19 Apr
Apolonia Fier
1 : 2
Besa Kavaje
11 Apr
Korabi Peshkopi
0 : 0
Apolonia Fier
04 Apr
Kukesi
2 : 0
Apolonia Fier
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Laci 33 24 7 2 60:23 79
2 Skenderbeu Korca 33 24 5 4 57:25 77
3 Pogradeci 33 20 8 5 63:31 68
4 Iliria Kruja 33 11 12 10 32:33 45
5 Besa Kavaje 33 10 9 14 41:43 39
6 Kastrioti 33 11 6 16 44:57 39
7 Burreli 33 9 10 14 27:45 37
8 Korabi Peshkopi 33 8 12 13 31:39 36
9 AF Luftetari 33 7 13 13 37:43 34
10 Kukesi 33 8 7 18 31:50 31
11 Apolonia Fier 33 6 10 17 31:44 28
12 Lushnja 33 5 11 17 26:47 26
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 (Relegation)