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AF Luftetari vs KF Elbasani

Albania Albania

First Division 2020/2021
Sat, Mar 6, 2021
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AF Luftetari host KF Elbasani in the First Division 2020/2021. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: AF Luftetari at 1.06 goals for, 1.39 against; KF Elbasani at 0.89 for, 2.14 against. Head-to-head, AF Luftetari have won 2 to KF Elbasani's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 6, 2021, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.29 vs 1.19, favoring AF Luftetari. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
AF Luftetari
20%
Draws
24%
KF Elbasani
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AF Luftetari

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • KF Elbasani haven't matched AF Luftetari's recent run of results.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on AF Luftetari taking it.
  • Regular First Division 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
AF Luftetari Clean Sheet 20%
KF Elbasani Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AF Luftetari KF Elbasani
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 7 5
Draws 9 4
Losses 15 19
Goals Scored 1.06 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.39 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2021 Kategoria e Parë
AF Luftetari vs KF Elbasani
0:0
Dec 19, 2020 Kategoria e Parë
KF Elbasani vs AF Luftetari
0:0
Nov 1, 2020 Albanian Cup
AF Luftetari vs KF Elbasani
0:3
Sep 27, 2017 Albanian Cup
AF Luftetari vs KF Elbasani
3:0
Sep 13, 2017 Albanian Cup
KF Elbasani vs AF Luftetari
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AF Luftetari 85 / 100
KF Elbasani 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AF Luftetari KF Elbasani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AF Luftetari Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KF Elbasani let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: AF Luftetari scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

AF Luftetari went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AF Luftetari VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AF Luftetari

(Home)
09 May
AF Luftetari
1 : 2
Librazhd
03 May
AF Luftetari
3 : 0
Pogradeci
25 Apr
Kastrioti
1 : 2
AF Luftetari
19 Apr
AF Luftetari
2 : 0
Burreli
11 Apr
Iliria Kruja
1 : 2
AF Luftetari
Page 1 of 7

KF Elbasani

(Away)
12 Aug
KF Elbasani
4 : 1
Luzi
02 Aug
Skenderbeu Korca
2 : 2
KF Elbasani
28 Jul
Dinamo City
2 : 2
KF Elbasani
25 Jul
Voska Sport
3 : 1
KF Elbasani
13 Oct
Kastrioti
2 : 0
KF Elbasani
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burreli 16 10 4 2 26:10 34
2 Korabi Peshkopi 16 10 3 3 17:8 33
3 Dinamo City 16 10 2 4 23:9 32
4 Vora 16 6 3 7 10:18 21
5 Beselidhja Lezha 16 5 5 6 19:17 20
6 Erzeni Shijak 16 5 4 7 15:13 19
7 KF Oriku 16 4 3 9 7:15 15
8 Partizani II 16 3 6 7 14:25 15
9 Koplik 16 2 4 10 10:26 10
Promotion - First Division 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - First Division 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KF Egnatia 14 9 4 1 25:5 31
2 Tomori Berat 14 9 2 3 23:11 29
3 Pogradeci 14 9 1 4 24:14 28
4 Besa Kavaje 14 6 3 5 19:13 21
5 Lushnja 14 5 4 5 16:20 19
6 Turbina Cerrik 14 4 6 4 14:16 18
7 Flamurtari 14 3 1 10 7:20 10
8 KF Elbasani 14 0 1 13 5:34 1
9 AF Luftetari 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - First Division 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - First Division 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)