Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AF Luftetari vs Librazhd

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026
Sat, May 9, 2026
1 - 2
02:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Diamanti G.
(Penalty)
79' Event
Jargavani H.

AI Match Summary

Librazhd in this Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
AF Luftetari
15%
Draws
28%
Librazhd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AF Luftetari

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Librazhd haven't matched AF Luftetari's recent run of results.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on AF Luftetari taking it.
  • AF Luftetari have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Librazhd, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors AF Luftetari here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
AF Luftetari Clean Sheet 68%
Librazhd Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AF Luftetari Librazhd
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 9 10
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.06 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
AF Luftetari vs Librazhd
1:2
Apr 30, 2016 Kategoria e Parë
Librazhd vs AF Luftetari
0:1
Mar 5, 2016 Kategoria e Parë
AF Luftetari vs Librazhd
1:0
Nov 7, 2015 Kategoria e Parë
Librazhd vs AF Luftetari
0:3
May 9, 2015 Kategoria e Parë
Librazhd vs AF Luftetari
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AF Luftetari Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Librazhd Compare

Top Goalscorer Jargavani H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AF Luftetari 95 / 100
Librazhd 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AF Luftetari Librazhd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AF Luftetari Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AF Luftetari found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

Librazhd has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: AF Luftetari remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AF Luftetari VS Librazhd
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AF Luftetari

(Home)
09 May
AF Luftetari
1 : 2
Librazhd
03 May
AF Luftetari
3 : 0
Pogradeci
25 Apr
Kastrioti
1 : 2
AF Luftetari
19 Apr
AF Luftetari
2 : 0
Burreli
11 Apr
Iliria Kruja
1 : 2
AF Luftetari
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Librazhd

(Away)
09 May
AF Luftetari
1 : 2
Librazhd
19 Nov
Vora
2 : 1
Librazhd
15 Oct
Erzeni Shijak
0 : 2
Librazhd
16 Oct
Burreli
4 : 0
Librazhd
18 Oct
Besa Kavaje
3 : 2
Librazhd
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
AF Luftetari 1
Librazhd 2
Kukesi 1
Bylis B 2