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Deportes Temuco vs Recoleta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Municipal Germán Becker, Temuco
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Viveros B.
46'
Sub
Sanchez D. In: Acevedo L.
Out: Sanchez D.
46'
Sub
Contreras P. In: Valdivia B.
Out: Contreras P.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga de Ascenso matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Deportes Temuco
30%
Draws
43%
Recoleta
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Recoleta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Recoleta lately — more wins on the board than Deportes Temuco.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Deportes Temuco taking it.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Deportes Temuco Clean Sheet 16%
Recoleta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportes Temuco Recoleta
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 9 10
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Temuco vs Recoleta
1:1
Mar 27, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Recoleta vs Deportes Temuco
1:5
Oct 31, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Temuco vs Recoleta
3:0
Jun 20, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Recoleta vs Deportes Temuco
2:2
Oct 13, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Temuco vs Recoleta
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Deportes Temuco Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Recoleta Compare

Top Goalscorer Viveros B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportes Temuco 41 / 100
Recoleta 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportes Temuco Recoleta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Deportes Temuco's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recoleta has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Deportes Temuco stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Deportes Temuco VS Recoleta
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportes Temuco

(Home)
03 Oct
Deportes Temuco
0 : 1
Cobreloa
15 Sept
U. Espanola
1 : 1
Deportes Temuco
08 Sept
Deportes Temuco
3 : 0
S. Wanderers
04 Sept
Rangers
1 : 0
Deportes Temuco
30 Aug
Deportes Temuco
3 : 1
D. Puerto Montt
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Recoleta

(Away)
03 Oct
Recoleta
2 : 1
S. Wanderers
14 Sept
Deportes Santa Cruz
0 : 0
Recoleta
09 Sept
Recoleta
2 : 1
San Marcos de Arica
06 Sept
Antofagasta
1 : 2
Recoleta
30 Aug
Curico Unido
0 : 0
Recoleta
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cobreloa 26 13 9 4 44:27 48
2 San Luis 26 13 8 5 41:29 47
3 S. Wanderers 26 12 8 6 41:28 44
4 Magallanes 26 12 7 7 42:38 43
5 Antofagasta 26 11 8 7 44:26 41
6 Recoleta 26 11 8 7 38:34 41
7 San Marcos de Arica 26 10 9 7 33:24 39
8 Copiapo 26 10 7 9 40:39 37
9 U. Espanola 26 10 6 10 32:34 36
10 D. Puerto Montt 26 10 4 12 26:34 34
11 Deportes Temuco 26 8 8 10 40:36 32
12 Deportes Iquique 26 7 10 9 35:30 31
13 Curico Unido 26 6 9 11 22:39 24
14 Deportes Santa Cruz 26 4 10 12 27:40 22
15 San Felipe 26 5 7 14 16:44 22
16 Rangers 26 4 6 16 23:42 18
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)