Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Deportes Temuco vs Recoleta

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Municipal Germán Becker, Temuco
Tue, Aug 18, 2026
VS
12:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Deportes Temuco host Recoleta in the Liga de Ascenso. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Deportes Temuco at 1.44 goals for, 1.41 against; Recoleta at 1.32 for, 1.57 against. Head-to-head, Deportes Temuco have won 2 to Recoleta's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 27, 2026, ending 1:5. xG projections (0.75 - 1.06) back Deportes Temuco to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Deportes Temuco
20%
Draws
80%
Recoleta
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Recoleta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Deportes Temuco average 1.44 goals a game right now, well clear of Recoleta's 1.32.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Recoleta taking it.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Deportes Temuco Clean Sheet 20%
Recoleta Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Deportes Temuco Recoleta
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 8 8
Draws 8 9
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.44 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 27, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Recoleta vs Deportes Temuco
1:5
Oct 31, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Temuco vs Recoleta
3:0
Jun 20, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Recoleta vs Deportes Temuco
2:2
Oct 13, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Temuco vs Recoleta
2:3
May 26, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
Recoleta vs Deportes Temuco
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Deportes Temuco 28 / 100
Recoleta 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Deportes Temuco Recoleta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Recoleta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Deportes Temuco's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Recoleta has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Recoleta's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Deportes Temuco VS Recoleta
0.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Deportes Temuco

(Home)
09 Aug
Deportes Temuco
3 : 4
Magallanes
04 Aug
Deportes Temuco
1 : 4
Copiapo
25 Jul
Deportes Iquique
1 : 0
Deportes Temuco
12 Jul
Deportes Temuco
0 : 1
Huachipato
06 Jul
D. Concepcion
2 : 0
Deportes Temuco
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Recoleta

(Away)
12 Aug
Recoleta
4 : 2
Rangers
08 Aug
San Felipe
0 : 0
Recoleta
02 Aug
Recoleta
0 : 1
D. Puerto Montt
27 Jul
U. Espanola
2 : 1
Recoleta
06 Jul
Colo Colo
2 : 2
Recoleta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cobreloa 19 9 8 2 37:22 35
2 S. Wanderers 19 9 7 3 35:20 34
3 Antofagasta 19 8 6 5 32:20 30
4 San Marcos de Arica 19 7 9 3 23:14 30
5 D. Puerto Montt 19 9 3 7 21:19 30
6 San Luis 19 7 8 4 29:25 29
7 Magallanes 19 8 5 6 33:33 29
8 U. Espanola 19 8 4 7 26:26 28
9 Copiapo 19 7 6 6 26:29 27
10 Recoleta 19 7 5 7 29:29 26
11 Deportes Temuco 19 6 6 7 31:28 24
12 Deportes Iquique 19 4 9 6 26:25 21
13 Curico Unido 19 4 8 7 18:28 20
14 San Felipe 19 5 5 9 15:34 20
15 Deportes Santa Cruz 19 3 7 9 24:34 16
16 Rangers 19 0 6 13 14:33 6
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)