Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AF Luftetari vs Pogradeci

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Lukao J. L. A. d. O.
33' Event
Budo K.
68' Event
Nyanguila K.

AI Match Summary

AF Luftetari in this Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AF Luftetari.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
AF Luftetari
20%
Draws
32%
Pogradeci
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AF Luftetari

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pogradeci lately — more wins on the board than AF Luftetari.
  • Model gives AF Luftetari a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
AF Luftetari Clean Sheet 19%
Pogradeci Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AF Luftetari Pogradeci
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 17
Draws 9 7
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.1 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.27
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
AF Luftetari vs Pogradeci
3:0
Dec 20, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
AF Luftetari vs Pogradeci
2:3
Oct 3, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Pogradeci vs AF Luftetari
2:3
Oct 16, 2024 Albanian Cup
Pogradeci vs AF Luftetari
2:0
Jan 16, 2021 Kategoria e Parë
AF Luftetari vs Pogradeci
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AF Luftetari Compare

Top Goalscorer Lukao J. L. A. d. O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Budo K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Pogradeci Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.71

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AF Luftetari 42 / 100
Pogradeci 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AF Luftetari Pogradeci

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AF Luftetari found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Pogradeci conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: AF Luftetari stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AF Luftetari VS Pogradeci
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.17 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
83% Over 2.5 38%
17% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AF Luftetari

(Home)
09 May
AF Luftetari
1 : 2
Sopoti Librazhd
03 May
AF Luftetari
3 : 0
Pogradeci
25 Apr
Kastrioti
1 : 2
AF Luftetari
19 Apr
AF Luftetari
2 : 0
Burreli
11 Apr
Iliria Kruja
1 : 2
AF Luftetari
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Pogradeci

(Away)
20 Sept
Pogradeci
0 : 0
Flamurtari
16 Sept
Kukesi
0 : 3
Pogradeci
12 Sept
Pogradeci
2 : 1
Kastrioti
05 Sept
Iliria Kruja
0 : 0
Pogradeci
12 Aug
Pogradeci
0 : 1
Skenderbeu Korca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Laci 33 24 7 2 60:23 79
2 Skenderbeu Korca 33 24 5 4 57:25 77
3 Pogradeci 33 20 8 5 63:31 68
4 Iliria Kruja 33 11 12 10 32:33 45
5 Besa Kavaje 33 10 9 14 41:43 39
6 Kastrioti 33 11 6 16 44:57 39
7 Burreli 33 9 10 14 27:45 37
8 Korabi Peshkopi 33 8 12 13 31:39 36
9 AF Luftetari 33 7 13 13 37:43 34
10 Kukesi 33 8 7 18 31:50 31
11 Apolonia Fier 33 6 10 17 31:44 28
12 Lushnja 33 5 11 17 26:47 26
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 (Relegation)