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AFA Olaine vs Augsdaugavas

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2025 Olaines stadions, Olaine
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Strelcovs I.
56' Event
Cernovs K.
72' Event
Buks R.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with AFA Olaine advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
AFA Olaine
20%
Draws
10%
Augsdaugavas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AFA Olaine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AFA Olaine come out ahead of Augsdaugavas on wins alone.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on AFA Olaine taking it.
  • AFA Olaine have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor AFA Olaine, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
AFA Olaine Clean Sheet 10%
Augsdaugavas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFA Olaine Augsdaugavas
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 4
Draws 4 5
Losses 17 21
Goals Scored 2.03 0.8
Goals Conceded 3.26 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2025 1. Liga
AFA Olaine vs Augsdaugavas
3:3
Jun 8, 2025 1. Liga
Augsdaugavas vs AFA Olaine
4:1
May 31, 2025 Latvian Cup
AFA Olaine vs Augsdaugavas
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AFA Olaine Compare

Top Goalscorer Strelcovs I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cernovs K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Augsdaugavas Compare

Top Goalscorer Buks R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFA Olaine 65 / 100
Augsdaugavas 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFA Olaine Augsdaugavas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFA Olaine Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AFA Olaine scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Augsdaugavas let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Solid form: AFA Olaine remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AFA Olaine VS Augsdaugavas
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
3.75 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

AFA Olaine

(Home)
08 Nov
Rezekne
3 : 4
AFA Olaine
01 Nov
AFA Olaine
1 : 1
Leevon PPK
25 Oct
Marupe
5 : 1
AFA Olaine
18 Oct
AFA Olaine
3 : 0
Skanste
04 Oct
Riga FC 2
7 : 2
AFA Olaine
Page 1 of 7

Augsdaugavas

(Away)
08 Nov
Riga FC 2
4 : 0
Augsdaugavas
01 Nov
Augsdaugavas
0 : 2
Alberts JDFS
25 Oct
RFS 2
2 : 0
Augsdaugavas
18 Oct
Augsdaugavas
1 : 3
FK Smiltene
04 Oct
Riga Mariners
3 : 3
Augsdaugavas
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
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RFS -
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FK Alberts -
Riga United -
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SK Babite -
Iecava -
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Kekava-Auda -
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Marupe -
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Grobina -
Livani -
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JFC Viola -
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Skanste -
Alberts JDFS -
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FK Smiltene -
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Tukums 2000 -
Kuivizu Spartaks -
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Upesciema Warriors -
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Riga Mariners -
Valmiera 8
FK Limbazi 0
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FK Cesis -
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Ogre United -
Plavinas -
TBD -
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Namejs -
Rigas Futbola Skola -
TBD -
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Bauskas / Memele -
AFA Olaine -
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Augsdaugavas -
RSU -
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LSPA -
Kuldigas/Goldingen -
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Salaspils FK -
Dienvidkurzemes -
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DSVK Traktors -
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Leevon PPK -
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BFC Daugavpils -
FK Union / JFK Daugava -
TBD -
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Lielupe -
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Rezekne -
Talsi 1
Aliance 5
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Valka -
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JFK Ventspils -
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FK Liepaja -
1/64-finals
Jelgava -
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RFS -
Speks 4
FK Alberts 3
Riga United 6
SK Babite 0
Iecava 1
Kekava-Auda 2
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Marupe -
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FK Metta -
FK Auda Riga -
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Grobina -
Livani 4
JFC Viola 0
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Skanste -
Alberts JDFS -
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FK Smiltene -
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Super Nova -
Riga FC -
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Tukums 2000 -
Kuivizu Spartaks 0
Upesciema Warriors 5
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Riga Mariners -
Valmiera 6
FK Cesis 0
TBD -
Ogre United -
Plavinas 4
Namejs 0
Rigas Futbola Skola 8
Bauskas / Memele 0
AFA Olaine -
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Augsdaugavas -
RSU 5
LSPA 1
Kuldigas/Goldingen 2
Salaspils FK 3
Dienvidkurzemes 3
DSVK Traktors 0
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Leevon PPK -
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BFC Daugavpils -
FK Union / JFK Daugava 5
Lielupe 0
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Rezekne -
Aliance 9
Valka 1
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JFK Ventspils -
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FK Liepaja -
1/32-finals
Jelgava -
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RFS -
Speks 0
Riga United 3
Kekava-Auda 0
Marupe 3
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FK Metta -
FK Auda Riga -
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Grobina -
Livani 0
Skanste 5
Alberts JDFS 5
FK Smiltene 3
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Super Nova -
Riga FC -
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Tukums 2000 -
Upesciema Warriors 0
Riga Mariners 3
Valmiera 4
Ogre United 3
Plavinas 3
Rigas Futbola Skola 2
AFA Olaine 3
Augsdaugavas 1
RSU 0
Salaspils FK 6
Dienvidkurzemes 1
Leevon PPK 2
TBD -
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BFC Daugavpils -
FK Union / JFK Daugava 4
Rezekne 0
Aliance 0
JFK Ventspils 6
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FK Liepaja -
1/16-finals
Jelgava -
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TBD -
RFS -
Riga United 0
Marupe 3
TBD -
FK Metta -
FK Auda Riga -
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TBD -
Grobina -
Skanste 1
Alberts JDFS 2
TBD -
Super Nova -
Riga FC -
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Tukums 2000 -
Riga Mariners 4
Valmiera 3
Plavinas 3
AFA Olaine 5
Salaspils FK 4
Leevon PPK 5
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BFC Daugavpils -
FK Union / JFK Daugava 1
JFK Ventspils 3
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
1/8-finals
Jelgava 0
RFS 1
Marupe 1
FK Metta 4
FK Auda Riga 1
Grobina 0
Alberts JDFS 1
Super Nova 3
Riga FC 4
Tukums 2000 0
Riga Mariners 6
AFA Olaine 1
Leevon PPK 2
BFC Daugavpils 4
JFK Ventspils 0
FK Liepaja 2
Quarter-finals
RFS 3
FK Metta 2
FK Auda Riga 3
Super Nova 1
Riga FC 10
Riga Mariners 0
BFC Daugavpils 1
FK Liepaja 2
Semi-finals
RFS 0
FK Auda Riga 2
Riga FC 4
FK Liepaja 0
Final
FK Auda Riga 2
Riga FC 1