Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AFA Olaine vs Rezekne

Latvia Latvia

Nakotnes liga 2025 Olaines stadions, Olaine
Our Tip

Match Events

41'
Sub
Kronis E. In: Artjomovs K.
Out: Kronis E.
42'
Jelagovs Ņ.
42'
Sub
Sokolovs A. In: Zukovs D.
Out: Sokolovs A.

AI Match Summary

The Nakotnes liga 2025 game between AFA Olaine and Rezekne finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AFA Olaine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
AFA Olaine
20%
Draws
10%
Rezekne
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AFA Olaine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • AFA Olaine carry the better recent record into this one.
  • AFA Olaine are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and AFA Olaine have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
AFA Olaine Clean Sheet 20%
Rezekne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFA Olaine Rezekne
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 4
Draws 4 4
Losses 17 23
Goals Scored 1.7 1.1
Goals Conceded 3.33 2.81
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2025 1. Liga
Rezekne vs AFA Olaine
3:4
Jul 19, 2025 1. Liga
AFA Olaine vs Rezekne
3:0
Sep 14, 2024 1. Liga
AFA Olaine vs Rezekne
5:0
Jun 21, 2024 Latvian Cup
Rezekne vs AFA Olaine
1:5
May 12, 2024 1. Liga
Rezekne vs AFA Olaine
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AFA Olaine Compare

Top Goalscorer Cernovs K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ruja K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.62
Avg xA / game 1.05

Rezekne Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFA Olaine 85 / 100
Rezekne 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFA Olaine Rezekne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFA Olaine Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AFA Olaine found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Rezekne has conceded goals in 97% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

AFA Olaine went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Rezekne
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 3
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

AFA Olaine

(Home)
08 Nov
Rezekne
3 : 4
AFA Olaine
01 Nov
AFA Olaine
1 : 1
Leevon PPK
25 Oct
Marupe
5 : 1
AFA Olaine
18 Oct
AFA Olaine
3 : 0
Skanste
04 Oct
Riga FC 2
7 : 2
AFA Olaine
Page 1 of 6

Rezekne

(Away)
19 Sept
Tukums 2000 2
3 : 1
Rezekne
11 Sept
Rezekne
2 : 2
Super Nova 2
05 Sept
Riga Mariners
5 : 0
Rezekne
30 Aug
Rezekne
1 : 6
Valmiera
23 Aug
Rezekne
0 : 2
FK Metta
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ogre United 26 18 4 4 66:20 58
2 Alberts JDFS 26 17 7 2 60:24 58
3 Riga Mariners 26 18 4 4 74:34 58
4 JFK Ventspils 26 11 10 5 40:29 43
5 RFS 2 26 11 8 7 46:31 41
6 Skanste 26 11 7 8 36:39 40
7 Leevon PPK 26 10 6 10 40:40 36
8 Marupe 26 10 2 14 30:33 32
9 Rezekne 26 8 7 11 36:57 31
10 FK Smiltene 26 8 4 14 46:48 28
11 Riga FC 2 26 6 6 14 35:43 24
12 Tukums 2000 2 26 7 2 17 37:60 23
13 AFA Olaine 26 6 4 16 39:88 22
14 Augsdaugavas 26 3 5 18 19:58 14
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