Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Afan Lido vs Aberdare Town

Wales Wales

Division 1 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Afan Lido in this Division 1 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Afan Lido.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Afan Lido
6%
Draws
4%
Aberdare Town
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Afan Lido

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Afan Lido have won more games recently than Aberdare Town.
  • Model gives Afan Lido a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Afan Lido Clean Sheet 13%
Aberdare Town Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Afan Lido Aberdare Town
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 3 4
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 0.75 0
Goals Conceded 2.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2016 Division 1
Aberdare Town vs Afan Lido
0:3
Nov 14, 2015 Division 1
Afan Lido vs Aberdare Town
3:0
Apr 17, 2015 Division 1
Afan Lido vs Aberdare Town
1:3
Sep 27, 2014 Division 1
Aberdare Town vs Afan Lido
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Afan Lido 84 / 100
Aberdare Town 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Afan Lido Aberdare Town

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Afan Lido scored in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Aberdare Town's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Afan Lido went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Afan Lido VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cardiff Metropolitan University30195663:2662
2Barry Town301610462:3358
3Goytre AFC30175872:3656
4Caerau Ely301551059:4350
5Cambrian United301551048:3950
6Taffs Well301451157:5147
7Goytre Utd301341345:4743
8Afan Lido301191053:5342
9Ton Pentre301241445:5240
10Risca United301231548:4839
11Penybont301161353:5639
12Monmouth301091156:6039
13Briton Ferry301091141:4939
14Aberdare Town301141534:5637
15Aberbargoed Buds30831942:6327
16Garden Village30142527:937