Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Afan Lido vs Aberystwyth

Wales Wales

Cymru South
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Keetch C.
32' Event
Owen D.
Own Goal
60' Event
Williams A.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru South game between Afan Lido and Aberystwyth finished 2-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aberystwyth.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Afan Lido
20%
Draws
50%
Aberystwyth
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aberystwyth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Aberystwyth carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 50% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Cymru South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Aberystwyth have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Afan Lido Clean Sheet 12%
Aberystwyth Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Afan Lido Aberystwyth
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 12
Draws 3 3
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.24 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Cymru South
Afan Lido vs Aberystwyth
2:5
Mar 28, 2026 Cymru South
Aberystwyth vs Afan Lido
0:1
Sep 27, 2025 Cymru South
Afan Lido vs Aberystwyth
0:1
Aug 5, 2016 Club Friendly
Afan Lido vs Aberystwyth
0:1
Mar 28, 2014 Cymru Premier
Aberystwyth vs Afan Lido
7:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Afan Lido Compare

Top Goalscorer Keetch C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pascoe J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Aberystwyth Compare

Top Goalscorer Williams A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Walsh L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Afan Lido 35 / 100
Aberystwyth 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Afan Lido Aberystwyth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aberystwyth Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Afan Lido's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Aberystwyth let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Afan Lido stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Afan Lido VS Aberystwyth
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Afan Lido

(Home)
14 Aug
Carmarthen Town
3 : 1
Afan Lido
07 Aug
Afan Lido
5 : 0
Llantwit Major
01 Aug
Afan Lido
2 : 5
Aberystwyth
04 Jul
Cardiff Metropolitan University
2 : 1
Afan Lido
18 Apr
Cardiff Draconians
4 : 1
Afan Lido
Page 1 of 6

Aberystwyth

(Away)
08 Aug
Aberystwyth
1 : 2
Treowen
01 Aug
Afan Lido
2 : 5
Aberystwyth
18 Apr
Ynyshir Albions
0 : 0
Aberystwyth
11 Apr
Cwmbran Celtic
3 : 1
Aberystwyth
04 Apr
Aberystwyth
2 : 2
Llantwit Major
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pure Swansea 3 3 0 0 9:0 9
2 Pontypridd United 3 3 0 0 10:5 9
3 Carmarthen Town 3 3 0 0 9:5 9
4 Newport City 3 2 0 1 9:3 6
5 Treowen 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
6 Caerau Ely 3 1 1 1 8:7 4
7 Ynyshir Albions 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
8 Baglan Dragons 3 1 1 1 1:3 4
9 Aberystwyth 2 1 0 1 6:4 3
10 Afan Lido 3 1 0 2 8:8 3
11 Pontardawe 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
12 Trethomas Bluebirds 3 0 2 1 3:5 2
13 Cardiff Draconians 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
14 Llanelli 3 0 1 2 2:8 1
15 Caerphilly 3 0 1 2 0:6 1
16 Llantwit Major 3 0 0 3 0:9 0
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)