Sport Picks
Afan Lido vs Caerau Ely - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
Cymru South 
AI Match Summary
Afan Lido host Caerau Ely in the Cymru South. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Afan Lido have averaged 1.41 scored and 1.83 conceded recently, against Caerau Ely's 2.27 scored and 1.19 conceded. Past meetings favor Caerau Ely slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 2, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.19 - 2.25) back Caerau Ely to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Caerau Ely have won more games recently than Afan Lido.
- Model gives Caerau Ely a 64% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Afan Lido | Caerau Ely |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 26 |
| Wins | 10 | 15 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 16 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 2.27 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.83 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
Afan Lido scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Caerau Ely let in goals in 54% of their last 26 matches.
Solid form: Afan Lido remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Afan Lido
(Home)Caerau Ely
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pontypridd United | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 32:21 | 24 |
| 2 | Aberystwyth | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 24:10 | 22 |
| 3 | Caerau Ely | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 23:20 | 22 |
| 4 | Pure Swansea | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 32:15 | 21 |
| 5 | Ynyshir Albions | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 19:11 | 19 |
| 6 | Baglan Dragons | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 12:13 | 17 |
| 7 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 24:21 | 16 |
| 8 | Treowen | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20:21 | 16 |
| 9 | Carmarthen Town | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 24:26 | 15 |
| 10 | Afan Lido | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | 15 |
| 11 | Caerphilly | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:21 | 14 |
| 12 | Pontardawe | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17:18 | 13 |
| 13 | Newport City | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19:15 | 12 |
| 14 | Cardiff Draconians | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:17 | 12 |
| 15 | Llantwit Major | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12:24 | 11 |
| 16 | Llanelli | 13 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9:40 | 2 |
