Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Afan Lido vs Llantwit Major

Wales Wales

Cymru South
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Griffiths L.
63' Event
Griffiths L.
(Penalty)
65' Event
Griffiths L.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Cymru South game between Afan Lido and Llantwit Major finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Afan Lido.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Afan Lido
15%
Draws
0%
Llantwit Major
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Afan Lido

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Afan Lido come out ahead of Llantwit Major on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Afan Lido's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Cymru South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Afan Lido Clean Sheet 19%
Llantwit Major Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Afan Lido Llantwit Major
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 2 8
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 1.34 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.94 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Cymru South
Afan Lido vs Llantwit Major
5:0
Mar 20, 2026 Cymru South
Afan Lido vs Llantwit Major
4:1
Nov 29, 2025 Cymru South
Llantwit Major vs Afan Lido
1:0
Jul 19, 2025 League Cup
Llantwit Major vs Afan Lido
1:2
Nov 2, 2024 Cymru South
Llantwit Major vs Afan Lido
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Afan Lido Compare

Top Goalscorer Griffiths L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Giardelli A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Llantwit Major Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Afan Lido 85 / 100
Llantwit Major 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Afan Lido Llantwit Major

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Afan Lido Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Llantwit Major has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Llantwit Major's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Afan Lido found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

Afan Lido VS Llantwit Major
2 Goals Scored 0.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Afan Lido

(Home)
04 Sept
Baglan Dragons
2 : 1
Afan Lido
31 Aug
Afan Lido
0 : 0
Ynyshir Albions
28 Aug
Trethomas Bluebirds
5 : 2
Afan Lido
21 Aug
Afan Lido
1 : 0
Pontardawe
14 Aug
Carmarthen Town
3 : 1
Afan Lido
Page 1 of 7

Llantwit Major

(Away)
22 Aug
Aberystwyth
5 : 1
Llantwit Major
15 Aug
Llantwit Major
0 : 1
Baglan Dragons
07 Aug
Afan Lido
5 : 0
Llantwit Major
01 Aug
Llantwit Major
0 : 3
Pure Swansea
18 Apr
Llantwit Major
1 : 3
Cambrian United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pure Swansea 5 4 1 0 18:5 13
2 Pontypridd United 5 4 1 0 16:10 13
3 Baglan Dragons 7 4 1 2 7:6 13
4 Aberystwyth 5 4 0 1 16:5 12
5 Treowen 6 4 0 2 15:9 12
6 Carmarthen Town 6 3 1 2 15:14 10
7 Trethomas Bluebirds 7 2 3 2 14:13 9
8 Ynyshir Albions 5 2 2 1 4:3 8
9 Caerphilly 6 2 2 2 5:9 8
10 Afan Lido 7 2 1 4 12:15 7
11 Caerau Ely 6 2 1 3 13:17 7
12 Newport City 5 2 0 3 9:5 6
13 Cardiff Draconians 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
14 Pontardawe 5 1 0 4 5:9 3
15 Llanelli 7 0 2 5 6:20 2
16 Llantwit Major 4 0 0 4 1:14 0
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)