Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Afan Lido vs Llantwit Major

Wales Wales

Cymru South 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Bevan J.
51'
Rowe K.
51'
Rowe K.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru South 2025/2026 game between Afan Lido and Llantwit Major finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Afan Lido.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Afan Lido
30%
Draws
31%
Llantwit Major
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Afan Lido

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Llantwit Major haven't matched Afan Lido's recent run of results.
  • Afan Lido are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Afan Lido Clean Sheet 14%
Llantwit Major Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Afan Lido Llantwit Major
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 3 8
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.24 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Cymru South
Afan Lido vs Llantwit Major
5:0
Mar 20, 2026 Cymru South
Afan Lido vs Llantwit Major
4:1
Nov 29, 2025 Cymru South
Llantwit Major vs Afan Lido
1:0
Jul 19, 2025 League Cup
Llantwit Major vs Afan Lido
1:2
Nov 2, 2024 Cymru South
Llantwit Major vs Afan Lido
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Afan Lido Compare

Top Goalscorer Griffiths L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader De Meyer J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Llantwit Major Compare

Top Goalscorer Bevan J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Afan Lido 66 / 100
Llantwit Major 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Afan Lido Llantwit Major

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Afan Lido Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Llantwit Major conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Afan Lido found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Afan Lido went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Afan Lido VS Llantwit Major
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Afan Lido

(Home)
25 Sept
Afan Lido
0 : 0
Newport City
11 Sept
Pontypridd United
0 : 1
Afan Lido
04 Sept
Baglan Dragons
2 : 1
Afan Lido
31 Aug
Afan Lido
0 : 0
Ynyshir Albions
28 Aug
Trethomas Bluebirds
5 : 2
Afan Lido
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Llantwit Major

(Away)
26 Sept
Llantwit Major
2 : 0
Llanelli
12 Sept
Treowen
1 : 1
Llantwit Major
22 Aug
Aberystwyth
5 : 1
Llantwit Major
15 Aug
Llantwit Major
0 : 1
Baglan Dragons
07 Aug
Afan Lido
5 : 0
Llantwit Major
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trefelin 30 25 3 2 83:17 78
2 Cambrian United 30 24 4 2 75:20 76
3 Ammanford Town 30 17 9 4 49:26 60
4 Caerau Ely 30 17 6 7 66:34 57
5 Carmarthen Town 30 11 12 7 45:38 45
6 Aberystwyth 30 13 5 12 35:38 44
7 Cardiff Draconians 30 12 4 14 50:48 40
8 Llantwit Major 30 9 10 11 44:47 37
9 Treowen 30 10 7 13 51:63 37
10 Newport City 30 9 10 11 36:48 37
11 Pontypridd United 30 9 7 14 46:51 34
12 Afan Lido 30 9 3 18 32:57 30
13 Trethomas Bluebirds 30 6 11 13 45:62 29
14 Baglan Dragons 30 5 10 15 26:52 25
15 Ynyshir Albions 30 5 8 17 27:56 23
16 Cwmbran Celtic 30 1 7 22 25:78 10
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Main)