Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
A one-off knockout match in the FAW Welsh Cup. Little to choose between these two on current form. Penybont have shipped 1.17 goals a game lately, while Afan Lido have conceded 1.74 and scored 1.62. Head-to-head, Afan Lido have won 1 to Penybont's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 21, 2025, ending 7:0. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.94, favoring Penybont. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Afan Lido come out ahead of Penybont on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Penybont's way, sitting at 60%.
- Afan Lido have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Penybont, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Afan Lido | Penybont |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 14 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 16 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.62 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.74 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 5.00 goals.
Afan Lido scored in 71% of their last 34 games.
Penybont has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Solid form: Afan Lido remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
