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Monterey Bay vs Colorado Springs - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL Championship Cardinale Stadium, Seaside, CA
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
02:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Monterey Bay host Colorado Springs in the USL Championship. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Monterey Bay at 1.28 goals for, 1.9 against; Colorado Springs at 1.63 for, 1.16 against. Past meetings favor Colorado Springs slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2026, ending 4:1. xG projections (1.38 - 1.69) back Colorado Springs to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Monterey Bay
35%
Draws
41%
Colorado Springs
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Colorado Springs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Colorado Springs lately — more wins on the board than Monterey Bay.
  • 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Colorado Springs here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Monterey Bay Clean Sheet 13%
Colorado Springs Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monterey Bay Colorado Springs
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 6 16
Draws 5 7
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 1.28 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 USL Championship
Colorado Springs vs Monterey Bay
4:1
Sep 7, 2025 USL Championship
Colorado Springs vs Monterey Bay
2:1
Apr 13, 2025 USL Championship
Monterey Bay vs Colorado Springs
2:1
Oct 20, 2024 USL Championship
Monterey Bay vs Colorado Springs
0:1
Jun 30, 2024 USL Championship
Colorado Springs vs Monterey Bay
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monterey Bay 31 / 100
Colorado Springs 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monterey Bay Colorado Springs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colorado Springs Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monterey Bay found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Colorado Springs let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Monterey Bay went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Monterey Bay VS Colorado Springs
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Monterey Bay

(Home)
11 Oct
New Mexico
3 : 1
Monterey Bay
04 Oct
Orange County SC
1 : 2
Monterey Bay
27 Sept
Monterey Bay
2 : 3
Lexington
19 Sept
Charleston
1 : 0
Monterey Bay
06 Sept
Monterey Bay
1 : 1
Phoenix Rising
Page 1 of 6

Colorado Springs

(Away)
11 Oct
Sacramento Republic
1 : 1
Colorado Springs
04 Oct
Colorado Springs
0 : 0
Oakland Roots
26 Sept
Detroit City
0 : 0
Colorado Springs
20 Sept
Colorado Springs
0 : 0
New Mexico
12 Sept
Colorado Springs
2 : 1
San Antonio FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampa Bay 28 16 7 5 49:26 55
2 Detroit City 28 14 8 6 34:20 50
3 Charleston 27 14 4 9 52:33 46
4 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 28 12 5 11 30:28 41
5 Louisville City 27 11 7 9 45:42 40
6 Hartford Athletic 27 9 12 6 30:28 39
7 Rhode Island 27 11 5 11 39:30 38
8 Miami FC 29 9 9 11 38:47 36
9 Indy Eleven 28 9 7 12 34:36 34
10 Loudoun United 27 5 12 10 34:44 27
11 Birmingham Legion 26 4 11 11 36:43 23
12 Brooklyn FC 27 4 6 17 27:55 18
13 Sporting Jax 27 3 5 19 32:73 14
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Paso Locomotive 28 15 5 8 48:36 50
2 New Mexico 28 14 7 7 44:33 49
3 Sacramento Republic 28 11 12 5 38:26 45
4 Lexington 28 13 5 10 49:33 44
5 FC Tulsa 28 11 10 7 32:25 43
6 Colorado Springs 28 11 8 9 41:38 41
7 Orange County SC 28 10 9 9 37:44 39
8 San Antonio FC 28 9 12 7 29:29 39
9 Las Vegas Lights 28 10 6 12 37:41 36
10 Phoenix Rising 28 9 9 10 39:42 36
11 Oakland Roots 28 8 11 9 33:35 35
12 Monterey Bay 28 5 6 17 30:50 21
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)