Sport Picks
Afan Lido vs Pure Swansea - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
Cymru South 
Match Events
12'
12'
Giardelli A.
22'
22'
Giardelli A.
27'
27'
Gibbings B.
AI Match Summary
The Cymru South game between Afan Lido and Pure Swansea finished 5-5.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
35%
42%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pure Swansea
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Pure Swansea come out ahead of Afan Lido on wins alone.
- Model gives Pure Swansea a 42% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Afan Lido Clean Sheet 10%
Pure Swansea Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Afan Lido | Pure Swansea |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 17 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.94 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 2.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 9, 2026 Cymru South
Afan Lido vs Pure Swansea
5:5
Mar 17, 2023 Cymru South
Pure Swansea vs Afan Lido
1:3
Aug 26, 2022 Cymru South
Afan Lido vs Pure Swansea
7:1
Mar 5, 2022 Cymru South
Pure Swansea vs Afan Lido
2:0
Jul 27, 2021 Cymru South
Afan Lido vs Pure Swansea
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Afan Lido Compare
Top Goalscorer Giardelli A.
3 Goals Assists Leader Roberts B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Pure Swansea Compare
Top Goalscorer Gibbings B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ingram D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Afan Lido 10 / 100
Pure Swansea 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Afan Lido Pure Swansea
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pure Swansea Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 5.40 goals.
Afan Lido scored in 66% of their last 32 games.
Pure Swansea's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.
Recent resilience: Afan Lido stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Afan Lido VS Pure Swansea
1.63 Goals Scored 3.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Afan Lido
(Home) 09 Oct
Afan Lido
5 : 5 Pure Swansea
02 Oct
Caerau Ely
2 : 0 Afan Lido
25 Sept
Afan Lido
0 : 0 Newport City
11 Sept
Pontypridd United
0 : 1 Afan Lido
04 Sept
Baglan Dragons
2 : 1 Afan Lido
Page 1 of 7
09 Oct
Afan Lido
5 : 5 Pure Swansea
25 Sept
Afan Lido
0 : 0 Newport City
31 Aug
Afan Lido
0 : 0 Ynyshir Albions
21 Aug
Afan Lido
1 : 0 Pontardawe
07 Aug
Afan Lido
5 : 0 Llantwit Major
Page 1 of 4
Pure Swansea
(Away) 09 Oct
Afan Lido
5 : 5 Pure Swansea
03 Oct
Pure Swansea
3 : 1 Caerphilly
25 Sept
Aberystwyth
0 : 0 Pure Swansea
11 Sept
Pure Swansea
4 : 0 Pontardawe
28 Aug
Pure Swansea
4 : 4 Pontypridd United
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Afan Lido
5 : 5 Pure Swansea
25 Sept
Aberystwyth
0 : 0 Pure Swansea
21 Aug
Caerau Ely
1 : 5 Pure Swansea
09 Aug
Baglan Dragons
0 : 3 Pure Swansea
01 Aug
Llantwit Major
0 : 3 Pure Swansea
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pure Swansea | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 30:11 | 21 |
| 2 | Aberystwyth | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22:8 | 19 |
| 3 | Pontypridd United | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23:16 | 19 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 21:18 | 16 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 11:11 | 16 |
| 6 | Carmarthen Town | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20:19 | 14 |
| 7 | Ynyshir Albions | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 13 |
| 8 | Treowen | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18:18 | 13 |
| 9 | Afan Lido | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 18:22 | 12 |
| 10 | Caerphilly | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:19 | 11 |
| 11 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 17:17 | 10 |
| 12 | Pontardawe | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 13 | Newport City | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:9 | 8 |
| 14 | Cardiff Draconians | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | 8 |
| 15 | Llantwit Major | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:20 | 7 |
| 16 | Llanelli | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7:27 | 2 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2027/2028 (Main)
