Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Afan Lido vs Rhydymwyn

Wales Wales

FA Cup 2013/2014
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Jones J.
55' Event
McCoubrey S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Afan Lido advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Afan Lido
20%
Draws
0%
Rhydymwyn
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Afan Lido

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Afan Lido come out ahead of Rhydymwyn on wins alone.
  • Afan Lido are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Afan Lido have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Afan Lido, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Afan Lido Clean Sheet 20%
Rhydymwyn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Afan Lido Rhydymwyn
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 1
Draws 3 0
Losses 16 29
Goals Scored 1.24 0.53
Goals Conceded 1.86 4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 7, 2013 FAW Welsh Cup
Afan Lido vs Rhydymwyn
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Afan Lido Compare

Top Goalscorer Jones J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Rhydymwyn Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Afan Lido 85 / 100
Rhydymwyn 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Afan Lido Rhydymwyn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Afan Lido Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rhydymwyn let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.

Rhydymwyn's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Afan Lido scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Afan Lido VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Afan Lido

(Home)
25 Sept
Afan Lido
0 : 0
Newport City
11 Sept
Pontypridd United
0 : 1
Afan Lido
04 Sept
Baglan Dragons
2 : 1
Afan Lido
31 Aug
Afan Lido
0 : 0
Ynyshir Albions
28 Aug
Trethomas Bluebirds
5 : 2
Afan Lido
Page 1 of 6

Rhydymwyn

(Away)
21 Sept
Llannefydd
1 : 0
Rhydymwyn
14 Aug
Rhyl
1 : 0
Rhydymwyn
19 Oct
Nantlle Vale FC
2 : 0
Rhydymwyn
20 Oct
Llay Welfare
2 : 0
Rhydymwyn
04 Apr
Llandrindod
7 : 0
Rhydymwyn
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Guilsfield 6
Machynlleth 1
Gwalchmai 2
Llanfair United 3
Rhydymwyn 2
Caerwys 1
Pwllheli 0
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Afan Lido -
Cambrian United 4
Butetown FC 0
Goytre AFC 1
Pontardawe 2
Goytre Utd 3
Trefelin 1
Newcastle Emlyn 1
Chepstow Town 2
Connahs Q. -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nefyn United 2
Penrhyndeudraeth FC 1
Denbigh 0
Caersws FC 2
Porthmadog 1
Mold Alexandra 0
Llanrug 1
Caernarfon 4
Ton Pentre 3
Fairfield United FC 0
Llwydcoed 1
Sully Sports 3
Llanidloes Town 3
Glan Conwy FC 1
Llanrhaeadr 1
Llandudno FC 5
Treharris Athletic 3
Llantwit Major 2
AFC Porth 1
Monmouth 2
Newtown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Haverfordwest 3
West End 2
Aberaeron 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 4
Llandrindod 3
Newport Civil Service 0
Cardiff Hibernian 0
Caerau Ely 4
Penycae FC 7
Brickfield Rangers 4
Penrhyncoch 0
Holywell Town FC 3
TNS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Flint Town 3
Llanberis FC 1
Llanrwst United 3
Conwy Borough 4
Port Talbot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Carmarthen Town -
Bangor City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rhyl -
Penybont 1
Cwmbran Celtic 0
Splott 1
Caldicot 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Aberdare Town 4
Treowen 2
Aberbargoed Buds 1
Briton Ferry 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Prestatyn -
Buckley 2
Llangollen 0
Chirk AAA FC 0
Rhayader 1
Tywyn Bryncrug 3
Berriew FC 2
Glantraeth FC 2
Bodedern 3
Cefn Druids 3
Holyhead 0
Coedpoeth 2
Barmouth & Dyffryn United 6
Undy 5
Presteigne St. Andrews 2
Taffs Well 0
Barry Town 1
Rhoose FC 2
Garden Village 1
Bridgend Street 1
Tata Steel 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bala -
1/32-finals
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
Guilsfield 1
Llanfair United 2
Rhydymwyn 4
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay 1
TBD -
Afan Lido -
Cambrian United 2
Pontardawe 0
Goytre Utd 0
Chepstow Town 1
Connahs Q. -
TBD -
Nefyn United 1
Caersws FC 3
Porthmadog 2
Caernarfon 1
Ton Pentre 0
Sully Sports 1
Llanidloes Town 2
Llandudno FC 0
Treharris Athletic 1
Monmouth 7
Newtown -
TBD -
Haverfordwest 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 6
Llandrindod 4
Caerau Ely 3
Penycae FC 0
Holywell Town FC 3
TNS -
TBD -
Flint Town 2
Conwy Borough 3
Port Talbot -
TBD -
TBD -
Carmarthen Town -
Bangor City -
TBD -
TBD -
Rhyl -
Penybont 0
Caldicot 3
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Aberdare Town 3
Briton Ferry 2
TBD -
Prestatyn -
Buckley 1
Rhayader 0
Tywyn Bryncrug 1
Bodedern 5
Cefn Druids 3
Barmouth & Dyffryn United 1
Undy 3
Barry Town 4
Rhoose FC 1
Tata Steel 0
TBD -
Bala -
1/16-finals
Aberystwyth 4
Llanfair United 2
Rhydymwyn 0
Afan Lido 2
Cambrian United 3
Chepstow Town 1
Connahs Q. 1
Caersws FC 2
Porthmadog 2
Sully Sports 1
Llanidloes Town 1
Monmouth 2
Newtown 2
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
Llandrindod 1
Holywell Town FC 3
TNS 2
Conwy Borough 1
Port Talbot 1
Carmarthen Town 2
Bangor City 2
Rhyl 1
Penybont 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Aberdare Town 4
Prestatyn 2
Buckley 0
Bodedern 2
Cefn Druids 5
Barry Town 2
Rhoose FC 1
Bala 6
1/8-finals
Aberystwyth 5
Afan Lido 1
Cambrian United 3
Caersws FC 4
Porthmadog 3
Monmouth 2
Newtown 2
Holywell Town FC 3
TNS 2
Carmarthen Town 0
Bangor City 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Aberdare Town 4
Bodedern 1
Cefn Druids 0
Bala 5
Quarter-finals
Aberystwyth 2
Caersws FC 1
Porthmadog 1
Holywell Town FC 2
TNS 2
Airbus UK Broughton FC 0
Aberdare Town 1
Bala 2
Semi-finals
Aberystwyth 3
Holywell Town FC 1
TNS 2
Bala 1
Final
Aberystwyth 2
TNS 3