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AFC Emley vs Whitby - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

NPL Premier Division
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AFC Emley host Whitby in the NPL Premier Division. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: AFC Emley at 0.97 goals for, 1.72 against; Whitby at 1.21 for, 2.43 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 1.75, favoring AFC Emley. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
AFC Emley
20%
Draws
33%
Whitby
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AFC Emley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • AFC Emley have won more games recently than Whitby.
  • AFC Emley are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
AFC Emley Clean Sheet 12%
Whitby Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Emley Whitby
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 7
Draws 7 4
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 0.97 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.72 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Emley 83 / 100
Whitby 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Emley Whitby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Emley Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Whitby let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

AFC Emley scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: AFC Emley stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Whitby registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AFC Emley VS Whitby
1 Goals Scored 1
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AFC Emley

(Home)
03 Nov
AFC Emley
2 : 0
Bamber Bridge
31 Oct
Alfreton
2 : 1
AFC Emley
24 Oct
AFC Emley
1 : 0
Lancaster
17 Oct
Stockton
1 : 3
AFC Emley
13 Oct
United of Manchester
1 : 1
AFC Emley
Page 1 of 6

Whitby

(Away)
31 Oct
Whitby
0 : 5
Stockton
24 Oct
United of Manchester
4 : 2
Whitby
17 Oct
Whitby
1 : 0
Curzon Ashton
13 Oct
Workington
1 : 2
Whitby
10 Oct
Whitby
0 : 0
Bamber Bridge
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Redcar Athletic 16 10 5 1 35:15 35
2 Cleethorpes 15 10 3 2 32:9 33
3 Guiseley 15 10 2 3 33:15 32
4 Curzon Ashton 16 10 1 5 30:18 31
5 Gainsborough 16 9 2 5 32:21 29
6 Avro 16 9 2 5 39:30 29
7 Workington 16 8 3 5 28:26 27
8 Warrington Rylands 15 8 2 5 27:22 26
9 Warrington Town 16 7 5 4 28:24 26
10 Bury FC 14 7 2 5 30:18 23
11 Alfreton 16 7 2 7 23:18 23
12 Lancaster 17 6 3 8 20:29 21
13 AFC Emley 17 5 5 7 19:28 20
14 Whitby 16 6 1 9 22:42 19
15 Quorn 15 4 6 5 27:32 18
16 Stockton 16 4 3 9 23:28 15
17 Hyde 16 4 3 9 15:30 15
18 Ashton United 16 3 5 8 18:21 14
19 Leek Town 16 3 5 8 31:37 14
20 Ilkeston 16 4 1 11 11:34 13
21 United of Manchester 16 2 6 8 20:27 12
22 Bamber Bridge 16 2 5 9 18:37 11
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