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Stadium Background

AFC Eskilstuna vs Gefle

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Tunavallen, Eskilstuna
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Cherif Fofana I.
37'
Zulum S.
45' Event
Ismail D.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 - Norra game between AFC Eskilstuna and Gefle finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gefle.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
AFC Eskilstuna
15%
Draws
31%
Gefle
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AFC Eskilstuna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AFC Eskilstuna come out ahead of Gefle on wins alone.
  • Model gives AFC Eskilstuna a 54% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
AFC Eskilstuna Clean Sheet 20%
Gefle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Eskilstuna Gefle
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 20 13
Draws 4 4
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 2.06 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
AFC Eskilstuna vs Gefle
0:1
Apr 11, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Gefle vs AFC Eskilstuna
4:3
Sep 13, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
AFC Eskilstuna vs Gefle
2:0
May 10, 2025 Division 1 - Norra
Gefle vs AFC Eskilstuna
2:2
Aug 28, 2023 Superettan
AFC Eskilstuna vs Gefle
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AFC Eskilstuna Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Gefle Compare

Top Goalscorer Ismail D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Eskilstuna 67 / 100
Gefle 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Eskilstuna Gefle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Eskilstuna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AFC Eskilstuna scored in 84% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Gefle's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 32 matches.

AFC Eskilstuna went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AFC Eskilstuna VS Gefle
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AFC Eskilstuna

(Home)
20 Sept
AFC Eskilstuna
0 : 1
Gefle
17 Sept
Assyriska FF
2 : 5
AFC Eskilstuna
13 Sept
AFC Eskilstuna
1 : 0
Pitea
05 Sept
Karlstad
1 : 2
AFC Eskilstuna
29 Aug
AFC Eskilstuna
2 : 1
Sollentuna
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Gefle

(Away)
20 Sept
AFC Eskilstuna
0 : 1
Gefle
16 Sept
Gefle
0 : 2
FC Arlanda
12 Sept
Gefle
3 : 1
FC Jarfalla
05 Sept
Sollentuna
1 : 0
Gefle
29 Aug
Gefle
2 : 2
Karlstad
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 23 16 3 4 55:19 51
2 AFC Eskilstuna 23 13 4 6 41:30 43
3 Hammarby TFF 23 12 6 5 48:22 42
4 FC Arlanda 23 12 6 5 40:27 42
5 Karlstad 23 11 6 6 35:23 39
6 FBK Karlstad 23 11 6 6 36:32 39
7 Enkopings SK 23 12 3 8 37:38 39
8 Assyriska FF 23 9 5 9 42:40 32
9 Gefle 23 9 3 11 29:41 30
10 Umea FC 23 8 5 10 31:37 29
11 Karlbergs 23 8 4 11 29:38 28
12 Sollentuna 23 5 9 9 21:31 24
13 Vasalund 23 6 6 11 34:48 24
14 Pitea 23 4 6 13 27:44 18
15 FC Jarfalla 23 5 3 15 30:50 18
16 IFK Stocksund 23 3 5 15 43:58 14
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)