Sport Picks

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AFC Eskilstuna vs Pitea

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Tunavallen, Eskilstuna
Our Tip

Match Events

43'
Sub
Ingemarson A. In: Oostra T.
Out: Ingemarson A.
60'
Sub
Hanson L. In: Flodkvist A.
Out: Hanson L.
60'
Sub
Amadi U. In: Cherif Fofana I.
Out: Amadi U.

AI Match Summary

AFC Eskilstuna in this Division 1 - Norra matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AFC Eskilstuna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
AFC Eskilstuna
20%
Draws
24%
Pitea
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AFC Eskilstuna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • AFC Eskilstuna have won more games recently than Pitea.
  • Model gives AFC Eskilstuna a 56% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
AFC Eskilstuna Clean Sheet 20%
Pitea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Eskilstuna Pitea
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 18 8
Draws 4 6
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 2.03 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
AFC Eskilstuna vs Pitea
1:0
Jun 21, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Pitea vs AFC Eskilstuna
2:2
Oct 27, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
AFC Eskilstuna vs Pitea
2:1
Apr 13, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
Pitea vs AFC Eskilstuna
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AFC Eskilstuna Compare

Top Goalscorer Cherif Fofana I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Pitea Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Eskilstuna 49 / 100
Pitea 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Eskilstuna Pitea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Eskilstuna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AFC Eskilstuna's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Pitea has conceded goals in 85% of their last 27 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

AFC Eskilstuna has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

AFC Eskilstuna VS Pitea
2.13 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AFC Eskilstuna

(Home)
05 Sept
Karlstad
1 : 2
AFC Eskilstuna
29 Aug
AFC Eskilstuna
2 : 1
Sollentuna
23 Aug
Karlbergs
0 : 3
AFC Eskilstuna
18 Aug
AFC Eskilstuna
4 : 5
Oddevold
14 Aug
AFC Eskilstuna
1 : 0
Hammarby TFF
Page 1 of 6

Pitea

(Away)
06 Sept
Pitea
3 : 0
Karlbergs
30 Aug
FBK Karlstad
4 : 3
Pitea
23 Aug
Hammarby TFF
1 : 1
Pitea
20 Aug
Pitea
0 : 3
AIK
16 Aug
Pitea
1 : 1
Vasalund
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 20 13 3 4 44:17 42
2 Hammarby TFF 21 12 5 4 46:18 41
3 Karlstad 21 11 4 6 33:21 37
4 AFC Eskilstuna 20 11 4 5 35:27 37
5 FBK Karlstad 21 11 4 6 36:32 37
6 FC Arlanda 21 10 6 5 34:25 36
7 Enkopings SK 21 11 2 8 32:34 35
8 Assyriska FF 21 8 5 8 35:34 29
9 Karlbergs 21 8 4 9 29:31 28
10 Gefle 21 8 3 10 28:39 27
11 Umea FC 20 6 5 9 26:33 23
12 Sollentuna 21 5 8 8 19:28 23
13 Vasalund 21 6 5 10 33:43 23
14 Pitea 20 3 6 11 24:40 15
15 FC Jarfalla 21 4 3 14 24:47 15
16 IFK Stocksund 21 3 5 13 41:50 14
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)