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AFC Eskilstuna vs Umea FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Tunavallen, Eskilstuna
AFC Eskilstuna Logo

AFC Eskilstuna

1 - 0
FT
Umea FC Logo

Umea FC

Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Azizovic A. In: Mahmoud L.
Out: Azizovic A.
48' Event
Chabo E.
Assist: Blomdahl O.
57'
Sub
Forsman S. In: Johansson I.
Out: Forsman S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

AFC Eskilstuna in this Division 1 - Norra matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AFC Eskilstuna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
AFC Eskilstuna
15%
Draws
54%
Umea FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Umea FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Umea FC haven't matched AFC Eskilstuna's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Division 1 - Norra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
AFC Eskilstuna Clean Sheet 17%
Umea FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Eskilstuna Umea FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.93 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Umea FC vs AFC Eskilstuna
1:3
Aug 2, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
AFC Eskilstuna vs Umea FC
1:0
Sep 15, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
AFC Eskilstuna vs Umea FC
0:3
Jun 23, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
Umea FC vs AFC Eskilstuna
3:1
Sep 27, 2020 Superettan
Umea FC vs AFC Eskilstuna
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AFC Eskilstuna Compare

Top Goalscorer Chabo E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Umea FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Eskilstuna 36 / 100
Umea FC 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Eskilstuna Umea FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Umea FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AFC Eskilstuna's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Umea FC let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: AFC Eskilstuna stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AFC Eskilstuna VS Umea FC
2.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AFC Eskilstuna

(Home)
10 Oct
AFC Eskilstuna
1 : 3
FC Stockholm Internazionale
03 Oct
FBK Karlstad
2 : 2
AFC Eskilstuna
26 Sept
FC Jarfalla
2 : 4
AFC Eskilstuna
20 Sept
AFC Eskilstuna
0 : 1
Gefle
17 Sept
Assyriska FF
2 : 5
AFC Eskilstuna
Page 1 of 6

Umea FC

(Away)
11 Oct
FC Jarfalla
1 : 2
Umea FC
04 Oct
Umea FC
2 : 1
Hammarby TFF
27 Sept
Umea FC
1 : 3
FBK Karlstad
20 Sept
IFK Stocksund
0 : 3
Umea FC
16 Sept
Pitea
0 : 2
Umea FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 26 19 3 4 63:21 60
2 FC Arlanda 26 14 6 6 46:31 48
3 AFC Eskilstuna 26 14 5 7 48:37 47
4 Hammarby TFF 25 13 6 6 51:25 45
5 Karlstad 26 12 8 6 40:25 44
6 FBK Karlstad 25 12 7 6 41:35 43
7 Enkopings SK 25 13 3 9 38:40 42
8 Karlbergs 26 9 6 11 36:44 33
9 Assyriska FF 25 9 5 11 43:45 32
10 Umea FC 25 9 5 11 34:41 32
11 Gefle 25 9 3 13 29:43 30
12 Vasalund 26 7 7 12 39:55 28
13 Sollentuna 26 6 9 11 27:36 27
14 Pitea 25 5 7 13 30:46 22
15 FC Jarfalla 25 5 4 16 33:55 19
16 IFK Stocksund 26 3 6 17 45:64 15
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)