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AFC Fylde vs Altrincham

England England

National League Mill Farm, Wesham
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AI Match Summary

The National League game between AFC Fylde and Altrincham finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Altrincham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
AFC Fylde
15%
Draws
41%
Altrincham
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AFC Fylde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • AFC Fylde carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans AFC Fylde's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
AFC Fylde Clean Sheet 17%
Altrincham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Fylde Altrincham
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 15 13
Draws 4 4
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 2.11 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 National League
AFC Fylde vs Altrincham
1:2
Feb 22, 2025 National League
Altrincham vs AFC Fylde
1:2
Oct 26, 2024 National League
AFC Fylde vs Altrincham
0:5
Dec 16, 2023 National League
Altrincham vs AFC Fylde
2:1
Aug 28, 2023 National League
AFC Fylde vs Altrincham
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Fylde 84 / 100
Altrincham 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Fylde Altrincham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Fylde Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AFC Fylde scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

AFC Fylde went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Altrincham let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

AFC Fylde VS Altrincham
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AFC Fylde

(Home)
15 Sept
Harrogate
1 : 2
AFC Fylde
12 Sept
Yeovil
1 : 4
AFC Fylde
05 Sept
AFC Fylde
2 : 2
Worthing FC
31 Aug
Solihull Moors
1 : 3
AFC Fylde
28 Aug
AFC Fylde
2 : 0
Forest Green
Page 1 of 6

Altrincham

(Away)
16 Sept
Altrincham
2 : 1
Hartlepool
12 Sept
Woking
5 : 1
Altrincham
04 Sept
Altrincham
2 : 1
Eastleigh
31 Aug
Forest Green
1 : 2
Altrincham
28 Aug
Altrincham
2 : 1
Halifax
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 8 6 2 0 19:10 20
2 AFC Fylde 8 5 2 1 19:11 17
3 Southend 8 5 2 1 17:11 17
4 Kidderminster 8 5 2 1 13:7 17
5 Harrogate 8 5 1 2 19:12 16
6 Yeovil 9 4 3 2 18:14 15
7 Aldershot 8 4 3 1 10:6 15
8 Sutton 8 5 0 3 9:9 15
9 Forest Green 8 4 1 3 12:11 13
10 Halifax 8 4 0 4 13:10 12
11 Hornchurch 8 4 0 4 10:12 12
12 Altrincham 8 4 0 4 10:14 12
13 Worthing FC 8 3 2 3 14:14 11
14 Eastleigh 8 3 2 3 10:10 11
15 Carlisle 8 2 4 2 16:13 10
16 Hartlepool 8 3 0 5 6:8 9
17 Woking 8 2 2 4 10:12 8
18 Boston United 8 2 2 4 10:12 8
19 Wealdstone 8 2 2 4 10:13 8
20 Scunthorpe 8 2 1 5 11:14 7
21 Barrow 8 1 3 4 10:12 6
22 Tamworth 8 1 2 5 14:22 5
23 Gateshead 8 1 1 6 5:14 4
24 Solihull Moors 9 1 1 7 9:23 4
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
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