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AFC Fylde vs Altrincham - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League Mill Farm, Wesham
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Barnes S.
15' Event
Hemmings K.
Assist: Kosylo M.
17' Event
Whelan T.
Assist: Mitchell E.

AI Match Summary

The National League game between AFC Fylde and Altrincham finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Altrincham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
AFC Fylde
20%
Draws
32%
Altrincham
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AFC Fylde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • AFC Fylde carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans AFC Fylde's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
AFC Fylde Clean Sheet 10%
Altrincham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Fylde Altrincham
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 14
Draws 3 5
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.97 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 National League
AFC Fylde vs Altrincham
1:2
Feb 22, 2025 National League
Altrincham vs AFC Fylde
1:2
Oct 26, 2024 National League
AFC Fylde vs Altrincham
0:5
Dec 16, 2023 National League
Altrincham vs AFC Fylde
2:1
Aug 28, 2023 National League
AFC Fylde vs Altrincham
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AFC Fylde Compare

Top Goalscorer Whelan T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Altrincham Compare

Top Goalscorer Hemmings K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kosylo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Fylde 56 / 100
Altrincham 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Fylde Altrincham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Fylde Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

AFC Fylde's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Altrincham let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

AFC Fylde went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AFC Fylde VS Altrincham
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AFC Fylde

(Home)
30 Oct
AFC Fylde
3 : 1
Hornchurch
27 Oct
AFC Fylde
3 : 1
Hartlepool
24 Oct
Boreham Wood
4 : 0
AFC Fylde
17 Oct
AFC Fylde
5 : 0
Atherton Collieries
10 Oct
AFC Fylde
2 : 0
Scunthorpe
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Altrincham

(Away)
31 Oct
Altrincham
2 : 4
Carlisle
27 Oct
Altrincham
0 : 0
Kidderminster
24 Oct
Yeovil
1 : 2
Altrincham
20 Oct
United of Manchester
2 : 6
Altrincham
17 Oct
Altrincham
0 : 0
United of Manchester
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 16 14 2 0 44:17 44
2 Harrogate 16 10 2 4 34:23 32
3 Southend 16 8 5 3 38:27 29
4 AFC Fylde 16 9 2 5 30:24 29
5 Yeovil 16 8 4 4 35:20 28
6 Worthing FC 16 8 4 4 32:25 28
7 Altrincham 16 9 1 6 24:24 28
8 Carlisle 16 7 5 4 32:23 26
9 Barrow 15 7 4 4 26:19 25
10 Halifax 16 7 3 6 28:20 24
11 Sutton 16 7 3 6 20:21 24
12 Woking 16 6 3 7 25:24 21
13 Kidderminster 16 5 6 5 17:16 21
14 Aldershot 16 6 3 7 19:19 21
15 Hornchurch 16 7 0 9 18:26 21
16 Forest Green 14 5 4 5 23:24 19
17 Eastleigh 16 5 4 7 19:25 19
18 Wealdstone 16 5 3 8 23:29 18
19 Boston United 16 5 3 8 21:29 18
20 Tamworth 15 5 2 8 25:32 17
21 Hartlepool 16 5 0 11 18:27 15
22 Solihull Moors 16 4 1 11 19:40 13
23 Scunthorpe 15 3 1 11 19:30 10
24 Gateshead 15 1 1 13 9:34 4
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