Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AFC Fylde vs Carlisle

England England

National League Mill Farm, Wesham
Tue, Sep 29, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AFC Fylde host Carlisle in the National League. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. AFC Fylde have averaged 2.11 scored and 1.36 conceded recently, against Carlisle's 1.93 scored and 1.41 conceded. Head-to-head, AFC Fylde have won 0 to Carlisle's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 19, 2025, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 1.50) point toward Carlisle. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
AFC Fylde
30%
Draws
12%
Carlisle
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AFC Fylde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • AFC Fylde carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives AFC Fylde a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
AFC Fylde Clean Sheet 16%
Carlisle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Fylde Carlisle
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 16 12
Draws 3 7
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 2.11 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2025 Club Friendly
AFC Fylde vs Carlisle
0:2
Jul 21, 2018 Club Friendly
AFC Fylde vs Carlisle
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Fylde 84 / 100
Carlisle 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Fylde Carlisle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Fylde Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AFC Fylde's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Carlisle conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

AFC Fylde has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

AFC Fylde VS Carlisle
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AFC Fylde

(Home)
26 Sept
Boston United
0 : 1
AFC Fylde
19 Sept
AFC Fylde
1 : 2
Altrincham
15 Sept
Harrogate
1 : 2
AFC Fylde
12 Sept
Yeovil
1 : 4
AFC Fylde
05 Sept
AFC Fylde
2 : 2
Worthing FC
Page 1 of 6

Carlisle

(Away)
26 Sept
Carlisle
2 : 5
Woking
19 Sept
Eastleigh
1 : 0
Carlisle
15 Sept
Carlisle
1 : 1
Forest Green
12 Sept
Carlisle
2 : 2
Southend
05 Sept
Boreham Wood
2 : 1
Carlisle
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 10 8 2 0 26:11 26
2 Southend 10 6 2 2 25:16 20
3 AFC Fylde 10 6 2 2 21:13 20
4 Harrogate 10 6 1 3 24:17 19
5 Aldershot 10 5 3 2 15:8 18
6 Yeovil 10 5 3 2 19:14 18
7 Kidderminster 10 5 3 2 13:8 18
8 Altrincham 10 6 0 4 15:15 18
9 Worthing FC 10 5 2 3 19:16 17
10 Sutton 10 5 2 3 13:13 17
11 Hornchurch 10 5 0 5 11:15 15
12 Forest Green 10 4 2 4 16:17 14
13 Eastleigh 10 4 2 4 12:14 14
14 Halifax 10 4 1 5 15:13 13
15 Woking 10 3 3 4 15:14 12
16 Barrow 10 3 3 4 15:14 12
17 Wealdstone 10 3 2 5 15:15 11
18 Boston United 10 3 2 5 13:14 11
19 Carlisle 10 2 4 4 18:19 10
20 Scunthorpe 10 3 1 6 15:16 10
21 Hartlepool 10 3 0 7 8:15 9
22 Tamworth 10 2 2 6 17:28 8
23 Solihull Moors 10 1 1 8 9:26 4
24 Gateshead 10 1 1 8 6:24 4
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)