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Stadium Background

AFC Fylde vs Forest Green

England England

National League Mill Farm, Wesham
Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Agina S.
48'
Sub
Berry J. In: Etaluku S.
Out: Berry J.
63'
Sub
Rees R. In: Mellor D.
Out: Rees R.

AI Match Summary

The National League game between AFC Fylde and Forest Green finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AFC Fylde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
AFC Fylde
20%
Draws
33%
Forest Green
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AFC Fylde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AFC Fylde come out ahead of Forest Green on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on AFC Fylde taking it.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • AFC Fylde have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
AFC Fylde Clean Sheet 16%
Forest Green Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Fylde Forest Green
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 17 14
Draws 4 3
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 2.27 1.82
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 National League
AFC Fylde vs Forest Green
2:0
Mar 22, 2025 National League
AFC Fylde vs Forest Green
3:0
Sep 10, 2024 National League
Forest Green vs AFC Fylde
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AFC Fylde Compare

Top Goalscorer Broad H.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Forest Green Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Fylde 84 / 100
Forest Green 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Fylde Forest Green

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Fylde Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AFC Fylde found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Forest Green let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

AFC Fylde has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

AFC Fylde VS Forest Green
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AFC Fylde

(Home)
19 Sept
AFC Fylde
1 : 2
Altrincham
15 Sept
Harrogate
1 : 2
AFC Fylde
12 Sept
Yeovil
1 : 4
AFC Fylde
05 Sept
AFC Fylde
2 : 2
Worthing FC
31 Aug
Solihull Moors
1 : 3
AFC Fylde
Page 1 of 6

Forest Green

(Away)
19 Sept
Forest Green
1 : 3
Boston United
15 Sept
Carlisle
1 : 1
Forest Green
12 Sept
Forest Green
4 : 0
Gateshead
05 Sept
Hornchurch
0 : 1
Forest Green
31 Aug
Forest Green
1 : 2
Altrincham
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 9 7 2 0 23:11 23
2 Southend 9 6 2 1 23:12 20
3 Kidderminster 9 5 3 1 13:7 18
4 AFC Fylde 9 5 2 2 20:13 17
5 Harrogate 9 5 1 3 20:16 16
6 Sutton 9 5 1 3 10:10 16
7 Yeovil 9 4 3 2 18:14 15
8 Aldershot 9 4 3 2 10:7 15
9 Hornchurch 9 5 0 4 11:12 15
10 Altrincham 9 5 0 4 12:15 15
11 Worthing FC 9 4 2 3 17:15 14
12 Eastleigh 9 4 2 3 11:10 14
13 Halifax 9 4 1 4 14:11 13
14 Forest Green 9 4 1 4 13:14 13
15 Boston United 9 3 2 4 13:13 11
16 Carlisle 9 2 4 3 16:14 10
17 Barrow 9 2 3 4 11:12 9
18 Woking 9 2 3 4 10:12 9
19 Hartlepool 9 3 0 6 7:11 9
20 Wealdstone 9 2 2 5 11:15 8
21 Tamworth 9 2 2 5 16:23 8
22 Scunthorpe 9 2 1 6 11:15 7
23 Solihull Moors 9 1 1 7 9:23 4
24 Gateshead 9 1 1 7 6:20 4
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