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AFC Fylde vs Hartlepool - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League Mill Farm, Wesham
Tue, Oct 27, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AFC Fylde host Hartlepool in the National League. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: AFC Fylde at 1.93 goals for, 1.41 against; Hartlepool at 1.14 for, 2.04 against. Past meetings favor AFC Fylde slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 4, 2025, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 0.94, favoring AFC Fylde. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
AFC Fylde
15%
Draws
28%
Hartlepool
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AFC Fylde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AFC Fylde lately — more wins on the board than Hartlepool.
  • 57% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
AFC Fylde Clean Sheet 20%
Hartlepool Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Fylde Hartlepool
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 11
Draws 3 2
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.93 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.41 2.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 4, 2025 National League
AFC Fylde vs Hartlepool
2:1
Nov 26, 2024 National League
Hartlepool vs AFC Fylde
2:0
Jan 9, 2024 National League
AFC Fylde vs Hartlepool
2:1
Aug 26, 2023 National League
Hartlepool vs AFC Fylde
3:1
Mar 28, 2020 National League
AFC Fylde vs Hartlepool
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Fylde 31 / 100
Hartlepool 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Fylde Hartlepool

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Fylde Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AFC Fylde scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Hartlepool conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Hartlepool's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

AFC Fylde VS Hartlepool
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AFC Fylde

(Home)
10 Oct
AFC Fylde
2 : 0
Scunthorpe
03 Oct
Southend
3 : 1
AFC Fylde
29 Sept
AFC Fylde
0 : 2
Carlisle
26 Sept
Boston United
0 : 1
AFC Fylde
19 Sept
AFC Fylde
1 : 2
Altrincham
Page 1 of 6

Hartlepool

(Away)
10 Oct
Forest Green
2 : 4
Hartlepool
03 Oct
Hartlepool
0 : 1
Tamworth
29 Sept
Hartlepool
0 : 1
Harrogate
26 Sept
Scunthorpe
4 : 1
Hartlepool
19 Sept
Hartlepool
1 : 3
Worthing FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 13 11 2 0 34:13 35
2 Harrogate 13 9 1 3 29:17 28
3 Southend 13 8 3 2 31:19 27
4 Yeovil 13 7 4 2 32:15 25
5 Worthing FC 13 7 3 3 27:18 24
6 Altrincham 13 8 0 5 20:19 24
7 AFC Fylde 13 7 2 4 24:18 23
8 Barrow 13 6 3 4 22:16 21
9 Hornchurch 13 7 0 6 15:19 21
10 Halifax 13 6 2 5 22:15 20
11 Kidderminster 13 5 5 3 15:12 20
12 Aldershot 13 5 3 5 18:16 18
13 Sutton 13 5 3 5 14:18 18
14 Carlisle 13 4 5 4 23:20 17
15 Woking 13 4 3 6 20:20 15
16 Forest Green 12 4 3 5 19:22 15
17 Eastleigh 13 4 3 6 14:20 15
18 Tamworth 13 4 2 7 21:30 14
19 Wealdstone 13 3 3 7 17:24 12
20 Hartlepool 13 4 0 9 12:19 12
21 Boston United 13 3 3 7 15:23 12
22 Scunthorpe 12 3 1 8 15:21 10
23 Solihull Moors 13 2 1 10 13:35 7
24 Gateshead 13 1 1 11 8:31 4
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