Sport Picks
AFC Fylde vs Hornchurch - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League Mill Farm, Wesham 
Match Events
16'
16'
Sub
Greenidge W. In: Adelusi T.
Out: Greenidge W.
17'
17'
Balanta A.
Assist: Loft R.
39'
39'
Matthews Lewis M.
AI Match Summary
AFC Fylde in this National League matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored AFC Fylde.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AFC Fylde
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Hornchurch lately — more wins on the board than AFC Fylde.
- AFC Fylde are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
AFC Fylde Clean Sheet 17%
Hornchurch Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AFC Fylde | Hornchurch |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 37 |
| Wins | 17 | 19 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.03 | 1.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 30, 2026 National League
AFC Fylde vs Hornchurch
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AFC Fylde Compare
Top Goalscorer Matthews Lewis M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Morris J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Hornchurch Compare
Top Goalscorer Balanta A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AFC Fylde 84 / 100
Hornchurch 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AFC Fylde Hornchurch
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AFC Fylde Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
AFC Fylde found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).
Hornchurch let in goals in 62% of their last 37 matches.
Recent resilience: AFC Fylde stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
AFC Fylde VS Hornchurch
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
AFC Fylde
(Home) 30 Oct
AFC Fylde
3 : 1 Hornchurch
27 Oct
AFC Fylde
3 : 1 Hartlepool
24 Oct
Boreham Wood
4 : 0 AFC Fylde
17 Oct
AFC Fylde
5 : 0 Atherton Collieries
10 Oct
AFC Fylde
2 : 0 Scunthorpe
Page 1 of 7
30 Oct
AFC Fylde
3 : 1 Hornchurch
27 Oct
AFC Fylde
3 : 1 Hartlepool
17 Oct
AFC Fylde
5 : 0 Atherton Collieries
10 Oct
AFC Fylde
2 : 0 Scunthorpe
29 Sept
AFC Fylde
0 : 2 Carlisle
Page 1 of 4
Hornchurch
(Away) 30 Oct
AFC Fylde
3 : 1 Hornchurch
27 Oct
Hornchurch
1 : 2 Yeovil
24 Oct
Hartlepool
2 : 1 Hornchurch
17 Oct
Uxbridge
0 : 4 Hornchurch
10 Oct
Hornchurch
2 : 0 Eastleigh
Page 1 of 8
30 Oct
AFC Fylde
3 : 1 Hornchurch
24 Oct
Hartlepool
2 : 1 Hornchurch
17 Oct
Uxbridge
0 : 4 Hornchurch
03 Oct
Harrogate
3 : 0 Hornchurch
26 Sept
Altrincham
3 : 0 Hornchurch
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 44:17 | 44 |
| 2 | Harrogate | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 34:23 | 32 |
| 3 | Southend | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 38:27 | 29 |
| 4 | AFC Fylde | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 30:24 | 29 |
| 5 | Yeovil | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 35:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Worthing FC | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 32:25 | 28 |
| 7 | Altrincham | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 24:24 | 28 |
| 8 | Carlisle | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 32:23 | 26 |
| 9 | Barrow | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26:19 | 25 |
| 10 | Halifax | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 28:20 | 24 |
| 11 | Sutton | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 20:21 | 24 |
| 12 | Woking | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 25:24 | 21 |
| 13 | Kidderminster | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:16 | 21 |
| 14 | Aldershot | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19:19 | 21 |
| 15 | Hornchurch | 16 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 18:26 | 21 |
| 16 | Forest Green | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 23:24 | 19 |
| 17 | Eastleigh | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:25 | 19 |
| 18 | Wealdstone | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 23:29 | 18 |
| 19 | Boston United | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21:29 | 18 |
| 20 | Tamworth | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 25:32 | 17 |
| 21 | Hartlepool | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 18:27 | 15 |
| 22 | Solihull Moors | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 19:40 | 13 |
| 23 | Scunthorpe | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 19:30 | 10 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9:34 | 4 |
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