Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AFC Fylde vs Scunthorpe Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

National League Mill Farm, Wesham
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AFC Fylde host Scunthorpe in the National League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Scunthorpe have shipped 1.37 goals a game lately, while AFC Fylde have conceded 1.38 and scored 2.03. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.81 xG vs 1.31) point toward AFC Fylde. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
AFC Fylde
15%
Draws
34%
Scunthorpe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AFC Fylde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Scunthorpe haven't matched AFC Fylde's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans AFC Fylde's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
AFC Fylde Clean Sheet 18%
Scunthorpe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Fylde Scunthorpe
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 16 13
Draws 3 6
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 2.03 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Fylde 40 / 100
Scunthorpe 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Fylde Scunthorpe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Fylde Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Scunthorpe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

AFC Fylde's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: AFC Fylde stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scunthorpe lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AFC Fylde VS Scunthorpe
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AFC Fylde

(Home)
29 Sept
AFC Fylde
0 : 2
Carlisle
26 Sept
Boston United
0 : 1
AFC Fylde
19 Sept
AFC Fylde
1 : 2
Altrincham
15 Sept
Harrogate
1 : 2
AFC Fylde
12 Sept
Yeovil
1 : 4
AFC Fylde
Page 1 of 6

Scunthorpe

(Away)
29 Sept
Barrow
3 : 0
Scunthorpe
26 Sept
Scunthorpe
4 : 1
Hartlepool
19 Sept
Hornchurch
1 : 0
Scunthorpe
16 Sept
Scunthorpe
1 : 2
Boreham Wood
12 Sept
Sutton
0 : 2
Scunthorpe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 11 9 2 0 29:12 29
2 Harrogate 11 7 1 3 25:17 22
3 Southend 11 6 3 2 26:17 21
4 Altrincham 11 7 0 4 16:15 21
5 AFC Fylde 11 6 2 3 21:15 20
6 Yeovil 11 5 4 2 20:15 19
7 Aldershot 11 5 3 3 16:10 18
8 Worthing FC 11 5 3 3 20:17 18
9 Kidderminster 11 5 3 3 14:11 18
10 Hornchurch 11 6 0 5 13:16 18
11 Sutton 11 5 2 4 13:15 17
12 Barrow 11 4 3 4 18:14 15
13 Forest Green 11 4 3 4 17:18 15
14 Eastleigh 11 4 3 4 13:15 15
15 Halifax 11 4 2 5 16:14 14
16 Carlisle 11 3 4 4 20:19 13
17 Wealdstone 11 3 3 5 16:16 12
18 Woking 11 3 3 5 17:18 12
19 Boston United 11 3 3 5 14:15 12
20 Tamworth 11 3 2 6 19:28 11
21 Scunthorpe 11 3 1 7 15:19 10
22 Hartlepool 11 3 0 8 8:16 9
23 Solihull Moors 11 2 1 8 13:28 7
24 Gateshead 11 1 1 9 6:25 4
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)