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AFC Fylde W vs Derby W

England England

Women's National League North 2022/2023
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AI Match Summary

The Women's National League North 2022/2023 game between AFC Fylde W and Derby W finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Derby W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
AFC Fylde W
15%
Draws
42%
Derby W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AFC Fylde W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Derby W come out ahead of AFC Fylde W on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Derby W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
AFC Fylde W Clean Sheet 10%
Derby W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Fylde W Derby W
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 5 14
Draws 3 4
Losses 22 15
Goals Scored 1.07 1.45
Goals Conceded 3 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2024 Women's National League North
Derby W vs AFC Fylde W
2:1
Oct 22, 2023 Women's National League North
AFC Fylde W vs Derby W
0:4
Feb 12, 2023 Women's National League North
AFC Fylde W vs Derby W
0:3
Sep 18, 2022 Women's National League North
Derby W vs AFC Fylde W
0:2
Apr 3, 2022 Women's National League North
AFC Fylde W vs Derby W
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Fylde W 30 / 100
Derby W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Fylde W Derby W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Derby W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Derby W has conceded goals in 67% of their last 33 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Away concern: Derby W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: AFC Fylde W scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

AFC Fylde W VS Derby W
0 Goals Scored 0.75
3 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AFC Fylde W

(Home)
14 Dec
Middlesbrough W
3 : 0
AFC Fylde W
23 Nov
AFC Fylde W
4 : 0
Kidderminster W
26 Oct
South Shields W
0 : 5
AFC Fylde W
03 Nov
Cheadle Town W
2 : 0
AFC Fylde W
05 May
Halifax W
6 : 1
AFC Fylde W
Page 1 of 6

Derby W

(Away)
20 Sept
Peterborough W
0 : 3
Derby W
13 Sept
Huddersfield W
2 : 1
Derby W
30 Aug
Derby W
1 : 0
Middlesbrough W
23 Aug
Derby W
0 : 1
Rugby Borough W
16 Aug
Liverpool Feds W
5 : 1
Derby W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nottingham W 22 17 3 2 81:18 54
2 Wolverhampton W 22 17 3 2 61:17 54
3 Burnley W 22 16 4 2 66:28 52
4 Derby W 22 11 5 6 50:32 38
5 Brighouse Town W 22 8 7 7 28:27 31
6 Huddersfield W 22 7 5 10 36:43 26
7 AFC Fylde W 22 7 5 10 24:54 26
8 West Brom W 22 7 4 11 28:46 25
9 Liverpool Feds W 22 7 3 12 36:45 24
10 Stoke City LFC W 22 7 3 12 32:49 24
11 Boldmere St Michaels W 22 5 1 16 27:61 16
12 Loughborough Lightning W 22 0 3 19 10:59 3
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