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AFC Malmo vs Atvidaberg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Södra Hyllie IP, Malmö
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Bohman F.
23'
Fatahi M.
24' Event
Sotra S.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 - Södra game between AFC Malmo and Atvidaberg finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
AFC Malmo
20%
Draws
15%
Atvidaberg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AFC Malmo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • AFC Malmo's 2.03 goals per match outpaces what Atvidaberg have produced (1.83).
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on AFC Malmo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
AFC Malmo Clean Sheet 18%
Atvidaberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Malmo Atvidaberg
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 2.03 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
AFC Malmo vs Atvidaberg
2:2
Apr 25, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
Atvidaberg vs AFC Malmo
3:0
Aug 5, 2023 Division 1 - Södra
AFC Malmo vs Atvidaberg
6:0
May 13, 2023 Division 1 - Södra
Atvidaberg vs AFC Malmo
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AFC Malmo Compare

Top Goalscorer Bohman F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Karim S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Atvidaberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Sotra S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Grandelius E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Malmo 85 / 100
Atvidaberg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Malmo Atvidaberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Malmo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AFC Malmo's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.

Atvidaberg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

AFC Malmo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

AFC Malmo VS Atvidaberg
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AFC Malmo

(Home)
01 Nov
AFC Malmo
6 : 3
Trollhattan
24 Oct
AFC Malmo
2 : 3
Angelholm
17 Oct
Jonkoping
2 : 1
AFC Malmo
10 Oct
AFC Malmo
4 : 2
Skovde
02 Oct
Kristianstad
0 : 1
AFC Malmo
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Atvidaberg

(Away)
01 Nov
Atvidaberg
1 : 2
Utsikten
25 Oct
Trelleborg
3 : 1
Atvidaberg
17 Oct
Atvidaberg
1 : 2
Hassleholms IF
10 Oct
Rosengard
1 : 1
Atvidaberg
03 Oct
Atvidaberg
1 : 1
Trollhattan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trelleborg 29 20 6 3 66:32 66
2 Hassleholms IF 29 16 5 8 51:33 53
3 Lunds Bois 29 14 8 7 57:37 50
4 AFC Malmo 29 13 8 8 58:45 47
5 Atvidaberg 29 13 8 8 53:43 47
6 Rosengard 29 10 10 9 46:44 40
7 Jonkoping 29 11 6 12 35:31 39
8 Trollhattan 29 10 8 11 51:54 38
9 Tvaaker 29 10 8 11 39:43 38
10 Skovde 29 9 11 9 39:47 38
11 Olympic 29 11 4 14 54:57 37
12 Kristianstad 29 10 6 13 37:41 36
13 Eskilsminne 29 9 6 14 45:60 33
14 Laholms 29 9 5 15 40:47 32
15 Angelholm 29 7 9 13 37:50 30
16 Utsikten 29 3 6 20 27:71 15
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)