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AFC Malmo vs Hassleholms IF

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Södra Hyllie IP
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AFC Malmo play Hassleholms IF in the Division 1 - Södra. It looks like a close match. Recently, AFC Malmo averaged 2.63 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. Hassleholms IF averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. In past meetings, AFC Malmo won 2, Hassleholms IF won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 8, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.19 for AFC Malmo and 1.50 for Hassleholms IF. This points to a Hassleholms IF double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
AFC Malmo
30%
Draws
34%
Hassleholms IF
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AFC Malmo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Hassleholms IF has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to AFC Malmo.
  • Model forecasts a 36% win probability edge for AFC Malmo.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Division 1 - Södra provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
AFC Malmo Clean Sheet 16%
Hassleholms IF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Malmo Hassleholms IF
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 17
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 2.63 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
AFC Malmo vs Hassleholms IF
3:2
Feb 14, 2026 Club Friendly
AFC Malmo vs Hassleholms IF
1:2
Aug 4, 2025 Division 1 - Södra
Hassleholms IF vs AFC Malmo
2:1
Apr 11, 2025 Division 1 - Södra
AFC Malmo vs Hassleholms IF
3:0
Aug 20, 2022 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Hassleholms IF vs AFC Malmo
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AFC Malmo Compare

Top Goalscorer Minter Wettergren L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Reinholdsson A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Hassleholms IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Ekstrom T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Malmo 36 / 100
Hassleholms IF 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Malmo Hassleholms IF

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AFC Malmo scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Hassleholms IF let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

AFC Malmo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Hassleholms IF lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AFC Malmo VS Hassleholms IF
2.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Trelleborg1495033:1232
2AFC Malmo1483328:1627
3Atvidaberg1475230:1826
4Lunds Bois1475226:1626
5Rosengard1464423:1922
6Hassleholms IF1463527:2221
7Tvaaker1463517:1921
8Eskilsminne1562725:2820
9Olympic1461722:2419
10Jonkoping1453620:1518
11Angelholm1437422:2216
12Skovde1437411:2016
13Kristianstad1535716:2414
14Laholms1441921:2913
15Trollhattan1427518:2613
16Utsikten14111210:394