Sport Picks
AFC Malmo vs Lunds Bois - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Sweden
Division 1 - Södra Hyllie IP, Malmö 
Match Events
19'
19'
Karim S.
46'
46'
Sub
Orajarvi I. In: Getachew J.
Out: Orajarvi I.
46'
46'
Sub
Elwan H. In: Bath Saganger G.
Out: Elwan H.
AI Match Summary
Lunds Bois in this Division 1 - Södra matchup, with the score ending 2-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lunds Bois.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AFC Malmo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- AFC Malmo haven't matched Lunds Bois's recent run of results.
- AFC Malmo are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
AFC Malmo Clean Sheet 15%
Lunds Bois Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AFC Malmo | Lunds Bois |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 9 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 2.03 | 1.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.66 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
AFC Malmo vs Lunds Bois
2:5
Jun 12, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
Lunds Bois vs AFC Malmo
1:4
Mar 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Lunds Bois vs AFC Malmo
1:3
Oct 3, 2025 Division 1 - Södra
AFC Malmo vs Lunds Bois
0:1
Apr 28, 2025 Division 1 - Södra
Lunds Bois vs AFC Malmo
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AFC Malmo Compare
Top Goalscorer Karim S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Lunds Bois Compare
Top Goalscorer Bojang M.
3 Goals Assists Leader Lindman E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AFC Malmo 39 / 100
Lunds Bois 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AFC Malmo Lunds Bois
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AFC Malmo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
AFC Malmo found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Defensive concern: Lunds Bois conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.
AFC Malmo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
AFC Malmo VS Lunds Bois
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
AFC Malmo
(Home) 01 Nov
AFC Malmo
6 : 3 Trollhattan
24 Oct
AFC Malmo
2 : 3 Angelholm
17 Oct
Jonkoping
2 : 1 AFC Malmo
10 Oct
AFC Malmo
4 : 2 Skovde
02 Oct
Kristianstad
0 : 1 AFC Malmo
Page 1 of 6
01 Nov
AFC Malmo
6 : 3 Trollhattan
24 Oct
AFC Malmo
2 : 3 Angelholm
10 Oct
AFC Malmo
4 : 2 Skovde
19 Sept
AFC Malmo
3 : 1 Utsikten
05 Sept
AFC Malmo
2 : 2 Atvidaberg
Page 1 of 3
Lunds Bois
(Away) 31 Oct
Lunds Bois
1 : 0 Jonkoping
24 Oct
Eskilsminne
1 : 4 Lunds Bois
16 Oct
Lunds Bois
2 : 4 Trelleborg
10 Oct
Lunds Bois
4 : 3 Trollhattan
02 Oct
Lunds Bois
0 : 1 Laholms
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
Eskilsminne
1 : 4 Lunds Bois
19 Sept
Atvidaberg
1 : 0 Lunds Bois
05 Sept
Utsikten
1 : 1 Lunds Bois
22 Aug
AFC Malmo
2 : 5 Lunds Bois
08 Aug
Skovde
1 : 1 Lunds Bois
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trelleborg | 29 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 66:32 | 66 |
| 2 | Hassleholms IF | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 51:33 | 53 |
| 3 | Lunds Bois | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 57:37 | 50 |
| 4 | AFC Malmo | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 58:45 | 47 |
| 5 | Atvidaberg | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 53:43 | 47 |
| 6 | Rosengard | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 46:44 | 40 |
| 7 | Jonkoping | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 35:31 | 39 |
| 8 | Trollhattan | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 51:54 | 38 |
| 9 | Tvaaker | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 39:43 | 38 |
| 10 | Skovde | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 39:47 | 38 |
| 11 | Olympic | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 54:57 | 37 |
| 12 | Kristianstad | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 37:41 | 36 |
| 13 | Eskilsminne | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 45:60 | 33 |
| 14 | Laholms | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 40:47 | 32 |
| 15 | Angelholm | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 37:50 | 30 |
| 16 | Utsikten | 29 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 27:71 | 15 |
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)
