Sport Picks

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AFC Malmo vs Lunds Bois

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Södra Hyllie IP, Malmö
Sat, Aug 22, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AFC Malmo host Lunds Bois in the Division 1 - Södra. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: AFC Malmo at 2.07 goals for, 1.38 against; Lunds Bois at 1.68 for, 1.25 against. Past meetings favor AFC Malmo slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 12, 2026, ending 1:4. xG projections (1.88 - 1.88) back AFC Malmo to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
AFC Malmo
35%
Draws
30%
Lunds Bois
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Lunds Bois haven't matched AFC Malmo's recent run of results.
  • AFC Malmo are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
AFC Malmo Clean Sheet 10%
Lunds Bois Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Malmo Lunds Bois
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 12
Draws 5 9
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 2.07 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
Lunds Bois vs AFC Malmo
1:4
Mar 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Lunds Bois vs AFC Malmo
1:3
Oct 3, 2025 Division 1 - Södra
AFC Malmo vs Lunds Bois
0:1
Apr 28, 2025 Division 1 - Södra
Lunds Bois vs AFC Malmo
0:0
Aug 10, 2024 Division 1 - Södra
Lunds Bois vs AFC Malmo
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Malmo 56 / 100
Lunds Bois 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Malmo Lunds Bois

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Malmo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AFC Malmo found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Lunds Bois's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

AFC Malmo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AFC Malmo VS Lunds Bois
2.38 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

AFC Malmo

(Home)
08 Aug
AFC Malmo
1 : 2
Trelleborg
01 Aug
Angelholm
2 : 2
AFC Malmo
27 Jun
AFC Malmo
1 : 0
Jonkoping
21 Jun
AFC Malmo
1 : 2
Olympic
12 Jun
Lunds Bois
1 : 4
AFC Malmo
Page 1 of 6

Lunds Bois

(Away)
08 Aug
Skovde
1 : 1
Lunds Bois
02 Aug
Trelleborg
2 : 2
Lunds Bois
27 Jun
Lunds Bois
2 : 1
Skovde
18 Jun
Jonkoping
0 : 0
Lunds Bois
12 Jun
Lunds Bois
1 : 4
AFC Malmo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trelleborg 16 10 6 0 37:15 36
2 Atvidaberg 16 8 5 3 32:21 29
3 AFC Malmo 16 8 4 4 31:20 28
4 Lunds Bois 16 7 7 2 29:19 28
5 Hassleholms IF 16 8 3 5 31:22 27
6 Rosengard 16 7 5 4 27:21 26
7 Olympic 16 7 1 8 25:27 22
8 Tvaaker 16 6 4 6 20:23 22
9 Jonkoping 16 6 3 7 24:19 21
10 Eskilsminne 16 6 3 7 25:28 21
11 Angelholm 16 3 8 5 24:25 17
12 Kristianstad 16 4 5 7 17:24 17
13 Skovde 16 3 8 5 13:24 17
14 Laholms 16 5 1 10 22:30 16
15 Trollhattan 16 3 7 6 19:27 16
16 Utsikten 16 1 2 13 12:43 5
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)