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AFC Malmo vs Skovde Prediction & H2H Stats

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Södra Hyllie IP, Malmö
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AFC Malmo host Skovde in the Division 1 - Södra. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: AFC Malmo at 1.9 goals for, 1.48 against; Skovde at 1.31 for, 1.52 against. Past meetings favor AFC Malmo slightly — 1-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 23, 2026, ending 0:4. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.81) point toward AFC Malmo. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
AFC Malmo
15%
Draws
40%
Skovde
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AFC Malmo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • AFC Malmo have won more games recently than Skovde.
  • 45% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
AFC Malmo Clean Sheet 11%
Skovde Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Malmo Skovde
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 8 9
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.9 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
Skovde vs AFC Malmo
0:4
Sep 7, 2025 Division 1 - Södra
AFC Malmo vs Skovde
1:1
May 10, 2025 Division 1 - Södra
Skovde vs AFC Malmo
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Malmo 29 / 100
Skovde 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Malmo Skovde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Malmo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AFC Malmo's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Skovde conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

AFC Malmo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

AFC Malmo VS Skovde
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AFC Malmo

(Home)
02 Oct
Kristianstad
0 : 1
AFC Malmo
27 Sept
Eskilsminne
1 : 2
AFC Malmo
19 Sept
AFC Malmo
3 : 1
Utsikten
16 Sept
Hassleholms IF
2 : 0
AFC Malmo
12 Sept
Tvaaker
0 : 0
AFC Malmo
Page 1 of 6

Skovde

(Away)
26 Sept
Skovde
2 : 1
Olympic
21 Sept
Jonkoping
3 : 2
Skovde
17 Sept
Skovde
1 : 3
Trollhattan
12 Sept
Angelholm
0 : 3
Skovde
06 Sept
Skovde
2 : 1
Trelleborg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trelleborg 24 15 6 3 53:28 51
2 Atvidaberg 24 13 6 5 48:34 45
3 Hassleholms IF 24 13 3 8 44:29 42
4 Lunds Bois 25 11 8 6 46:29 41
5 AFC Malmo 25 11 8 6 45:35 41
6 Rosengard 24 10 8 6 41:34 38
7 Trollhattan 24 10 7 7 41:36 37
8 Jonkoping 24 9 6 9 29:25 33
9 Tvaaker 24 9 6 9 32:37 33
10 Olympic 24 9 3 12 41:46 30
11 Skovde 24 7 9 8 28:36 30
12 Eskilsminne 24 8 5 11 39:44 29
13 Kristianstad 25 7 6 12 29:37 27
14 Laholms 25 7 4 14 32:43 25
15 Angelholm 24 3 9 12 28:47 18
16 Utsikten 24 2 6 16 21:57 12
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)