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AFC Malmo vs Trollhattan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Södra Hyllie IP, Malmö
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Jensen W.
38' Event
Bohman F.
50' Event
Bohman F.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 - Södra game between AFC Malmo and Trollhattan finished 6-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AFC Malmo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
AFC Malmo
15%
Draws
21%
Trollhattan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AFC Malmo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • AFC Malmo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • AFC Malmo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
AFC Malmo Clean Sheet 10%
Trollhattan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Malmo Trollhattan
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 7 8
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 2.03 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
AFC Malmo vs Trollhattan
6:3
May 14, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
Trollhattan vs AFC Malmo
0:2
Sep 28, 2025 Division 1 - Södra
Trollhattan vs AFC Malmo
2:1
Jun 15, 2025 Division 1 - Södra
AFC Malmo vs Trollhattan
3:3
Aug 17, 2024 Division 1 - Södra
Trollhattan vs AFC Malmo
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AFC Malmo Compare

Top Goalscorer Bohman F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sener C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Trollhattan Compare

Top Goalscorer Hermansson V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Jensen W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Malmo 83 / 100
Trollhattan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Malmo Trollhattan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Malmo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AFC Malmo scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Trollhattan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

AFC Malmo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AFC Malmo VS Trollhattan
1.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

AFC Malmo

(Home)
01 Nov
AFC Malmo
6 : 3
Trollhattan
24 Oct
AFC Malmo
2 : 3
Angelholm
17 Oct
Jonkoping
2 : 1
AFC Malmo
10 Oct
AFC Malmo
4 : 2
Skovde
02 Oct
Kristianstad
0 : 1
AFC Malmo
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Trollhattan

(Away)
01 Nov
AFC Malmo
6 : 3
Trollhattan
24 Oct
Trollhattan
2 : 4
Jonkoping
18 Oct
Kristianstad
3 : 1
Trollhattan
10 Oct
Lunds Bois
4 : 3
Trollhattan
06 Oct
Trollhattan
1 : 0
Mjallby
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trelleborg 29 20 6 3 66:32 66
2 Hassleholms IF 29 16 5 8 51:33 53
3 Lunds Bois 29 14 8 7 57:37 50
4 AFC Malmo 29 13 8 8 58:45 47
5 Atvidaberg 29 13 8 8 53:43 47
6 Rosengard 29 10 10 9 46:44 40
7 Jonkoping 29 11 6 12 35:31 39
8 Trollhattan 29 10 8 11 51:54 38
9 Tvaaker 29 10 8 11 39:43 38
10 Skovde 29 9 11 9 39:47 38
11 Olympic 29 11 4 14 54:57 37
12 Kristianstad 29 10 6 13 37:41 36
13 Eskilsminne 29 9 6 14 45:60 33
14 Laholms 29 9 5 15 40:47 32
15 Angelholm 29 7 9 13 37:50 30
16 Utsikten 29 3 6 20 27:71 15
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)