Sport Picks

Sweden

Division 1 - Södra Hyllie IP

AFC Malmo

0 - 1

Tvaaker

Our Tip

Match Events

46'

Sub

Castro V. In: Awad A.

Out: Castro V.

46'

Sub

Reinholdsson A. In: Sener C.

Out: Reinholdsson A.

46'

Sub

Hebrunn G. In: Martinsson F.

Out: Hebrunn G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tvaaker in this Division 1 - Södra matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tvaaker.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

AFC Malmo

17%

Draws

13%

Tvaaker

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: AFC Malmo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Tvaaker lately — more wins on the board than AFC Malmo.
Win probability leans AFC Malmo's way, sitting at 70%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%

AFC Malmo Clean Sheet 19%

Tvaaker Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	AFC Malmo	Tvaaker
Matches Played	30	28
Wins	15	17
Draws	4	5
Losses	11	6
Goals Scored	2.63	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.38	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	2.63	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2026 Division 1 - Södra

AFC Malmo vs Tvaaker

Possession: 43% - 45% Cards: 1 - 2

0:1

Aug 25, 2024 Division 1 - Södra

AFC Malmo vs Tvaaker

Possession: 57% - 43% Cards: 1 - 2

4:1

Jun 8, 2024 Division 1 - Södra

Tvaaker vs AFC Malmo

Possession: 49% - 41% Cards: 2 - 3

0:2

Aug 19, 2023 Division 1 - Södra

AFC Malmo vs Tvaaker

Possession: 55% - 49% Cards: 1 - 0

0:1

Apr 29, 2023 Division 1 - Södra

Tvaaker vs AFC Malmo

Possession: 42% - 60% Cards: 2 - 1

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AFC Malmo Compare

Avg xG / game 2.02

Avg xA / game 1.31

Tvaaker Compare

Top Goalscorer Ajdarevic A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Malmo 67 / 100

Tvaaker 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AFC Malmo Tvaaker

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AFC Malmo scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Tvaaker let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: AFC Malmo stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AFC Malmo VS Tvaaker

2.63 Goals Scored 1.13

1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75

88% Over 1.5 50%

75% Over 2.5 38%

50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Trelleborg	14	9	5	0	33:12	32
2	AFC Malmo	14	8	3	3	28:16	27
3	Atvidaberg	14	7	5	2	30:18	26
4	Lunds Bois	14	7	5	2	26:16	26
5	Rosengard	14	6	4	4	23:19	22
6	Hassleholms IF	14	6	3	5	27:22	21
7	Tvaaker	14	6	3	5	17:19	21
8	Eskilsminne	15	6	2	7	25:28	20
9	Olympic	14	6	1	7	22:24	19
10	Jonkoping	14	5	3	6	20:15	18
11	Angelholm	14	3	7	4	22:22	16
12	Skovde	14	3	7	4	11:20	16
13	Kristianstad	15	3	5	7	16:24	14
14	Laholms	14	4	1	9	21:29	13
15	Trollhattan	14	2	7	5	18:26	13
16	Utsikten	14	1	1	12	10:39	4