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AFC Malmo vs Utsikten - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Södra Hyllie IP, Malmö
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Bjorkqvist M.
40' Event
Bosnic S.
53'
Nouri B.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 - Södra game between AFC Malmo and Utsikten finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AFC Malmo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
AFC Malmo
15%
Draws
21%
Utsikten
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AFC Malmo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • AFC Malmo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans AFC Malmo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division 1 - Södra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
AFC Malmo Clean Sheet 20%
Utsikten Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Malmo Utsikten
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 5
Draws 7 6
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 2.03 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.66 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
AFC Malmo vs Utsikten
3:1
May 2, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
Utsikten vs AFC Malmo
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AFC Malmo Compare

Top Goalscorer Bjorkqvist M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martinsson F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Utsikten Compare

Top Goalscorer Bosnic S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Malmo 85 / 100
Utsikten 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Malmo Utsikten

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Malmo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AFC Malmo found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Utsikten has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

AFC Malmo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AFC Malmo VS Utsikten
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

AFC Malmo

(Home)
01 Nov
AFC Malmo
6 : 3
Trollhattan
24 Oct
AFC Malmo
2 : 3
Angelholm
17 Oct
Jonkoping
2 : 1
AFC Malmo
10 Oct
AFC Malmo
4 : 2
Skovde
02 Oct
Kristianstad
0 : 1
AFC Malmo
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Utsikten

(Away)
01 Nov
Atvidaberg
1 : 2
Utsikten
23 Oct
Utsikten
1 : 4
Tvaaker
18 Oct
Olympic
4 : 1
Utsikten
11 Oct
Utsikten
0 : 2
Angelholm
03 Oct
Skovde
3 : 2
Utsikten
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trelleborg 29 20 6 3 66:32 66
2 Hassleholms IF 29 16 5 8 51:33 53
3 Lunds Bois 29 14 8 7 57:37 50
4 AFC Malmo 29 13 8 8 58:45 47
5 Atvidaberg 29 13 8 8 53:43 47
6 Rosengard 29 10 10 9 46:44 40
7 Jonkoping 29 11 6 12 35:31 39
8 Trollhattan 29 10 8 11 51:54 38
9 Tvaaker 29 10 8 11 39:43 38
10 Skovde 29 9 11 9 39:47 38
11 Olympic 29 11 4 14 54:57 37
12 Kristianstad 29 10 6 13 37:41 36
13 Eskilsminne 29 9 6 14 45:60 33
14 Laholms 29 9 5 15 40:47 32
15 Angelholm 29 7 9 13 37:50 30
16 Utsikten 29 3 6 20 27:71 15
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)