Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AFC Malmo vs Utsikten

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Södra Hyllie IP, Malmö
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Bjorkqvist M.
40' Event
Bosnic S.
53'
Nouri B.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 - Södra game between AFC Malmo and Utsikten finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AFC Malmo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
AFC Malmo
35%
Draws
26%
Utsikten
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AFC Malmo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • AFC Malmo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Division 1 - Södra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
AFC Malmo Clean Sheet 12%
Utsikten Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Malmo Utsikten
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 12 3
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.97 0.85
Goals Conceded 1.52 2.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
AFC Malmo vs Utsikten
3:1
May 2, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
Utsikten vs AFC Malmo
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AFC Malmo Compare

Top Goalscorer Bjorkqvist M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martinsson F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Utsikten Compare

Top Goalscorer Bosnic S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Malmo 29 / 100
Utsikten 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Malmo Utsikten

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Malmo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AFC Malmo found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Utsikten has conceded goals in 89% of their last 27 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

AFC Malmo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AFC Malmo VS Utsikten
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AFC Malmo

(Home)
16 Sept
Hassleholms IF
2 : 0
AFC Malmo
12 Sept
Tvaaker
0 : 0
AFC Malmo
05 Sept
AFC Malmo
2 : 2
Atvidaberg
30 Aug
Laholms
2 : 2
AFC Malmo
22 Aug
AFC Malmo
2 : 5
Lunds Bois
Page 1 of 6

Utsikten

(Away)
16 Sept
Utsikten
0 : 0
Laholms
11 Sept
Trollhattan
5 : 0
Utsikten
05 Sept
Utsikten
1 : 1
Lunds Bois
30 Aug
Trelleborg
2 : 1
Utsikten
25 Aug
Utsikten
1 : 2
Hacken
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trelleborg 22 13 6 3 48:27 45
2 Hassleholms IF 22 13 3 6 43:26 42
3 Lunds Bois 22 11 8 3 46:26 41
4 Atvidaberg 22 11 6 5 45:33 39
5 Rosengard 22 9 7 6 38:32 34
6 Tvaaker 22 9 6 7 30:32 33
7 AFC Malmo 22 8 8 6 39:33 32
8 Trollhattan 22 8 7 7 36:34 31
9 Jonkoping 22 8 6 8 26:20 30
10 Olympic 22 9 2 11 39:43 29
11 Eskilsminne 22 8 4 10 36:40 28
12 Skovde 22 6 9 7 24:32 27
13 Laholms 22 6 4 12 28:38 22
14 Kristianstad 22 5 6 11 25:34 21
15 Angelholm 22 3 8 11 25:41 17
16 Utsikten 22 1 6 15 17:54 9
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)