Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AFC Mansfield vs Dunkirk

England England

FA Cup 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-0, with AFC Mansfield advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
AFC Mansfield
20%
Draws
30%
Dunkirk
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AFC Mansfield

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • AFC Mansfield carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans AFC Mansfield's way, sitting at 50%.
  • AFC Mansfield have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor AFC Mansfield, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
AFC Mansfield Clean Sheet 20%
Dunkirk Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Mansfield Dunkirk
Matches Played 22 8
Wins 8 1
Draws 7 2
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1.27 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.41 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2017 FA Cup
AFC Mansfield vs Dunkirk
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Mansfield 49 / 100
Dunkirk 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Mansfield Dunkirk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Mansfield Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dunkirk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 8 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

AFC Mansfield found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (22 games).

AFC Mansfield went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AFC Mansfield VS Dunkirk
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 4
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

AFC Mansfield

(Home)
10 Jul
Basford Utd.
2 : 2
AFC Mansfield
22 Jul
Worksop
5 : 0
AFC Mansfield
13 Jul
AFC Mansfield
0 : 0
Grantham Town
03 Oct
Boston United
4 : 2
AFC Mansfield
22 Sept
AFC Mansfield
3 : 0
Gainsborough
Page 1 of 5

Dunkirk

(Away)
02 Sept
AFC Mansfield
4 : 0
Dunkirk
03 Sept
Lincoln Utd.
6 : 1
Dunkirk
26 Sept
Stourbridge
3 : 1
Dunkirk
12 Sept
Belper Town
1 : 3
Dunkirk
19 Aug
Dunkirk
2 : 3
Shepshed
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Halifax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tranmere -
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
1874 Northwich 4
Mossley AFC 2
TBD -
North Ferriby United -
Atherton Collieries 2
Cleethorpes 1
Consett 1
Ossett Town 2
South Shields 2
Witton Albion 0
TBD -
Darlington FC -
Salford -
TBD -
TBD -
York City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hartlepool -
Shaw Lane 3
Radcliffe 1
TBD -
Blyth Spartans -
Droylsden 4
Colwyn Bay 3
Colne 0
Lancaster 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Barrow -
Chorley -
TBD -
Farsley 1
Stalybridge 2
Albion Sports 3
Barnoldswick Town 2
Bamber Bridge 1
Ashton Athletic 2
AFC Mansfield 4
Dunkirk 0
Potton United 0
Rushall 1
Haughmond FC 3
Matlock 2
TBD -
Boston United -
Stafford 4
Peterborough Sports 3
TBD -
Tamworth -
Barwell 2
Sutton Coldfield Town 0
TBD -
Telford -
Stockport County -
TBD -
TBD -
Curzon Ashton -
Handsworth Parramore 2
Skelmersdale 1
TBD -
United of Manchester -
Harrogate -
TBD -
Whitby 2
Penistone Church 3
Southport -
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Bradford PA -
Leamington -
TBD -
Soham 0
Westfields 1
Spennymoor -
TBD -
TBD -
Gainsborough -
Nantwich 2
City Of Liverpool 1
Leek Town 1
Shepshed 6
King’s Lynn 4
Coleshill Town 1
TBD -
Nuneaton -
Basford Utd. 3
Halesowen 0
Hinckley 1
Mickleover 2
Kidsgrove Athletic 3
Clitheroe 2
Romulus 0
Kettering 3
Buxton 3
Frickley 2
Boldmere St Michaels 0
Chasetown 3
Grantham Town 2
Holbeach 1
Market Drayton 1
Alvechurch 5
TBD -
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Gateshead -
Guiseley -
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Banbury 4
Tiverton 2
Hamworthy United 1
Thatcham 5
Altrincham 5
Abbey Hey 4
Bottesford Town 0
Shildon 1
AFC Fylde -
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Wrexham -
Kidderminster -
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Brocton 2
Deeping Rangers 4
Ashton United 3
Marine 1
Whitley Bay 0
Newcastle Benfield 2
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TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Chester -
Scarborough Athletic 1
Workington 0
Liversedge 0
Sunderland Ryhope 4
Redditch 1
Lincoln Utd. 0
Newcastle Town 0
Stratford 4
Boston Town 2
Hednesford 0
Yaxley 0
Dereham 1
Warrington Town 1
Grimsby Borough 0
Kendal 0
Hyde 1
Stourbridge 3
Loughborough Dynamo 1
Coalville Town 0
St Ives Town 1
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3
Tividale 2
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Alfreton -
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Macclesfield -
Brackley -
TBD -
Shoreham 2
Kingstonian 3
Royston Town 2
Dunstable Town 0
TBD -
Braintree -
Hungerford -
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Gloucester City -
Thamesmead 3
Lewes 0
Didcot 0
Billericay 5
Dagenham & Red. -
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Leyton Orient -
Eastleigh -
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Hornchurch 1
Romford 0
Grays 3
Hertford Town 4
Kempston 2
FC Wisbech Town 1
Godalming Town 0
Hereford 8
Aldershot -
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Torquay -
Bath City -
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Guildford City 1
Knaphill 3
Wingate & Finchley 5
Hendon 3
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Hemel Hempstead -
Weymouth 5
Odd Down 0
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Chippenham Town -
Ramsgate 7
Egham Town 5
TBD -
Chelmsford -
Oxford City -
TBD -
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Whitehawk -
Crowborough 2
Sevenoaks 0
Aylesbury Vale 1
Leiston 3
Eastbourne Borough -
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Pagham 3
Carshalton 5
Weston-super-Mare -
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Bognor Regis -
Maidenhead -
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Hayes & Yeading 7
Maldon & Tiptree 6
Hadley 2
Romania 3
Merthyr Town 6
Willand Rovers 1
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Havant & Waterlooville -
Haringey Borough 3
Hitchin 2
TBD -
Welling -
Bodmin Town 2
Horndean 0
Bishops Cleeve 1
Bideford 5
Frome Town 2
AFC Totton 1
Taunton Town 3
Tavistock 4
Metropolitan Police 3
Staines 2
Arlesey 0
Heybridge 7
Woking -
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TBD -
Dorking Wanderers 3
Worthing FC 2
Takeley 0
Cheshunt 2
Tunbridge Wells 5
Haywards Heath 2
TBD -
Concord Rangers -
Hampton & Richmond -
TBD -
Stortford 0
Potters 1
Hartley Wintney 3
Basingstoke 2
Moneyfields 1
Cinderford Town 2
Sudbury 5
Mildenhall 3
Littlehampton 2
Chipstead 6
Portchester 1
Dorchester 0
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Truro -
Dover Ath. -
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Bromley -
Slough Town 3
Berkhamsted Town 1
Hastings 1
Dulwich Hamlet 3
Salisbury 3
Farnborough 2
TBD -
Poole Town -
Aylesbury United 1
Tilbury 0
Thame United 3
Baldock 4
Tooting & Mitcham 2
Merstham 0
Greenwich Borough 2
Folkestone 3
Burgess Hill 3
Erith Town 0
Cockfosters 0
Colney Heath 3
Faversham 3
Tonbridge 1
TBD -
Wealdstone -
Needham Market 3
Clapton 0
Great Yarmouth Town 0
Chesham 2
Barking 4
Gorleston 0
TBD -
Dartford -
St. Albans -
TBD -
Neots 1
Cambridge City 3
Cadbury Heath 2
Andover Town 1
Barnstaple Town 0
Bridport 1
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Boreham Wood -
Maidstone -
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Phoenix Sports 2
Eastbourne Town 0
Banstead Athletic 0
Glebe 4
Hanwell Town 4
Brightlingsea 1
Harrow Borough 1
Enfield Town 2
Margate 3
East Grinstead Town 1
Haverhill Borough 0
Kings Langley 8
Horsham FC 6
Ashford United 0
Walton Casuals 1
Herne Bay 3
Ashford Town 2
Corinthian-Casuals 0
Beaconsfield Town 0
Marlow 2
Ware 2
FC Witham Town 1
Cray Valley 0
Leatherhead 6
Paulton Rovers 1
Winchester City 0
Margaretsbury 1
Kidlington 6
Gosport Borough 1
Bridgwater United 0
Tuffley Rovers 0
Swindon Supermarine 5
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Sutton -
East Thurrock Utd -
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North Leigh 4
Biggleswade Town 5
Lowestoft 2
Bedford 0
Thurrock 2
Harlow 3
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Ebbsfleet -
Quarter-finals
Halifax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tranmere -
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
1874 Northwich 1
North Ferriby United 0
Atherton Collieries 0
Ossett Town 1
South Shields 3
Darlington FC 0
Salford 1
York City 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hartlepool -
Shaw Lane 2
Blyth Spartans 1
Droylsden 0
Lancaster 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Barrow -
Chorley 3
Stalybridge 1
Albion Sports 0
Ashton Athletic 4
AFC Mansfield 2
Rushall 1
Haughmond FC 1
Boston United 6
Stafford 1
Tamworth 0
Barwell 0
Telford 2
Stockport County 1
Curzon Ashton 0
Handsworth Parramore 3
United of Manchester 7
Harrogate 3
Penistone Church 0
Southport 0
Bradford PA 3
Leamington 2
Westfields 0
Spennymoor 1
Gainsborough 2
Nantwich 1
Shepshed 0
King’s Lynn 1
Nuneaton 3
Basford Utd. 1
Mickleover 0
Kidsgrove Athletic 0
Kettering 2
Buxton 4
Chasetown 1
Grantham Town 3
Alvechurch 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
Guiseley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbury 2
Thatcham 0
Altrincham 0
Shildon 1
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Wrexham -
Kidderminster 4
Deeping Rangers 2
Ashton United 1
Newcastle Benfield 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chester -
Scarborough Athletic 2
Sunderland Ryhope 0
Redditch 1
Stratford 4
Boston Town 2
Dereham 1
Warrington Town 1
Hyde 3
Stourbridge 2
St Ives Town 0
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3
Alfreton 5
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TBD -
TBD -
Macclesfield -
Brackley 3
Kingstonian 0
Royston Town 3
Braintree 4
Hungerford 3
Gloucester City 0
Thamesmead 1
Billericay 6
Dagenham & Red. -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leyton Orient -
Eastleigh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hornchurch 2
Hertford Town 1
Kempston 0
Hereford 4
Aldershot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torquay -
Bath City 6
Knaphill 0
Wingate & Finchley 1
Hemel Hempstead 2
Weymouth 2
Chippenham Town 0
Ramsgate 0
Chelmsford 7
Oxford City 3
Whitehawk 1
Crowborough 2
Leiston 4
Eastbourne Borough 4
Carshalton 3
Weston-super-Mare 1
Bognor Regis 2
Maidenhead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hayes & Yeading 4
Romania 2
Merthyr Town 1
Havant & Waterlooville 2
Haringey Borough 2
Welling 1
Bodmin Town 1
Bideford 2
Frome Town 2
Tavistock 1
Metropolitan Police 3
Heybridge 4
Woking -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dorking Wanderers 3
Cheshunt 1
Tunbridge Wells 0
Concord Rangers 4
Hampton & Richmond 4
Potters 1
Hartley Wintney 0
Cinderford Town 1
Sudbury 3
Chipstead 0
Portchester 0
Truro 2
Dover Ath. -
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TBD -
Bromley -
Slough Town 3
Dulwich Hamlet 2
Salisbury 0
Poole Town 2
Aylesbury United 2
Baldock 1
Tooting & Mitcham 1
Folkestone 3
Burgess Hill 6
Colney Heath 3
Faversham 0
Wealdstone 4
Needham Market 2
Chesham 0
Barking 1
Dartford 3
St. Albans 5
Cambridge City 3
Cadbury Heath 4
Bridport 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boreham Wood -
Maidstone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Phoenix Sports 4
Glebe 3
Hanwell Town 0
Enfield Town 5
Margate 1
Kings Langley 0
Horsham FC 2
Herne Bay 5
Ashford Town 2
Marlow 0
Ware 2
Leatherhead 5
Paulton Rovers 3
Kidlington 2
Gosport Borough 1
Swindon Supermarine 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sutton -
East Thurrock Utd 1
Biggleswade Town 0
Lowestoft 0
Harlow 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ebbsfleet -
Semi-finals
Halifax -
TBD -
TBD -
Tranmere -
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
1874 Northwich 2
Ossett Town 3
South Shields 3
York City 2
TBD -
Hartlepool -
Shaw Lane 2
Lancaster 1
TBD -
Barrow -
Chorley 1
Ashton Athletic 0
AFC Mansfield 0
Boston United 2
Stafford 2
Telford 5
Stockport County 3
United of Manchester 4
Harrogate 2
Bradford PA 0
Leamington 0
Gainsborough 2
Nantwich 3
Nuneaton 1
Basford Utd. 2
Kettering 3
Buxton 2
Alvechurch 1
TBD -
Gateshead -
Guiseley -
TBD -
Banbury 2
Shildon 3
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
TBD -
Wrexham -
Kidderminster 1
Newcastle Benfield 0
TBD -
Chester -
Scarborough Athletic 6
Stratford 3
Boston Town 2
Hyde 3
Stourbridge 3
Alfreton 1
TBD -
Macclesfield -
Brackley 4
Braintree 1
Hungerford 2
Billericay 7
Dagenham & Red. -
TBD -
TBD -
Leyton Orient -
Eastleigh -
TBD -
Hornchurch 0
Hereford 2
Aldershot -
TBD -
TBD -
Torquay -
Bath City 3
Hemel Hempstead 0
Weymouth 1
Chelmsford 2
Oxford City 4
Leiston 2
Eastbourne Borough 0
Bognor Regis 2
Maidenhead -
TBD -
Hayes & Yeading 0
Havant & Waterlooville 4
Haringey Borough 4
Bideford 1
Frome Town 1
Heybridge 2
Woking -
TBD -
Dorking Wanderers 0
Concord Rangers 3
Hampton & Richmond 3
Cinderford Town 2
Sudbury 1
Truro 4
Dover Ath. -
TBD -
TBD -
Bromley -
Slough Town 2
Poole Town 1
Aylesbury United 1
Folkestone 2
Burgess Hill 1
Wealdstone 0
Needham Market 1
Dartford 6
St. Albans 2
Bridport 1
TBD -
Boreham Wood -
Maidstone -
TBD -
Phoenix Sports 0
Enfield Town 3
Margate 2
Herne Bay 0
Ashford Town 1
Leatherhead 2
Paulton Rovers 3
Swindon Supermarine 2
TBD -
Sutton -
East Thurrock Utd 4
Harlow 3
TBD -
Ebbsfleet -
Stage 5
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Stage 4
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Stage 3
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Stage 2
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Stage 1
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Final
Halifax 1
Tranmere 3
Solihull Moors 3
Ossett Town 2
South Shields 1
Hartlepool 2
Shaw Lane 2
Barrow 1
Chorley 4
Boston United 3
Telford 3
United of Manchester 1
Harrogate 1
Gainsborough 2
Nantwich 2
Kettering 1
Buxton 1
Gateshead 2
Guiseley 6
Shildon 0
AFC Fylde 1
Wrexham 0
Kidderminster 2
Chester 0
Scarborough Athletic 0
Hyde 2
Stourbridge 0
Macclesfield 5
Brackley 4
Billericay 5
Dagenham & Red. 0
Leyton Orient 1
Eastleigh 1
Hereford 2
Aldershot 1
Torquay 0
Bath City 0
Chelmsford 1
Oxford City 1
Bognor Regis 0
Maidenhead 2
Havant & Waterlooville 1
Haringey Borough 2
Heybridge 4
Woking 3
Concord Rangers 2
Hampton & Richmond 0
Truro 2
Dover Ath. 0
Bromley 3
Slough Town 1
Folkestone 0
Burgess Hill 0
Dartford 1
St. Albans 1
Boreham Wood 3
Maidstone 5
Enfield Town 3
Margate 1
Leatherhead 2
Paulton Rovers 2
Sutton 3
East Thurrock Utd 0
Ebbsfleet 3