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AFC Nera Bogodinti vs CSM Deva - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 7
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AFC Nera Bogodinti host CSM Deva in the Liga 3 - Seria 7. This has CSM Deva written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: AFC Nera Bogodinti at 0.29 goals for, 2.71 against; CSM Deva at 2.04 for, 2.18 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 2.06) point toward CSM Deva. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
AFC Nera Bogodinti
20%
Draws
70%
CSM Deva
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CSM Deva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CSM Deva come out ahead of AFC Nera Bogodinti on wins alone.
  • CSM Deva are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 7 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
AFC Nera Bogodinti Clean Sheet 10%
CSM Deva Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Nera Bogodinti CSM Deva
Matches Played 7 28
Wins 0 10
Draws 2 10
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 0.29 2.04
Goals Conceded 2.71 2.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Nera Bogodinti 10 / 100
CSM Deva 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Nera Bogodinti CSM Deva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSM Deva Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSM Deva's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: AFC Nera Bogodinti scored in 29% of their last 7 outings.

AFC Nera Bogodinti went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: CSM Deva registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AFC Nera Bogodinti VS CSM Deva
0.25 Goals Scored 1.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 3.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

AFC Nera Bogodinti

(Home)
03 Oct
AFC Nera Bogodinti
0 : 0
Timisul Sag
26 Sept
Unirea Alba-Iulia
10 : 0
AFC Nera Bogodinti
23 Sept
AFC Nera Bogodinti
0 : 3
Metalurgistul Cugir
18 Sept
Ghiroda & Giarmata Vii
2 : 1
AFC Nera Bogodinti
12 Sept
AFC Nera Bogodinti
1 : 2
Blaj
Page 1 of 2

CSM Deva

(Away)
09 Oct
Metalurgistul Cugir
0 : 2
CSM Deva
03 Oct
CSM Deva
5 : 1
Ghiroda & Giarmata Vii
30 Sept
Campionii Arges
2 : 1
CSM Deva
26 Sept
Blaj
5 : 5
CSM Deva
22 Sept
CSM Deva
0 : 3
Unirea Santana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Unirea Alba-Iulia 8 5 2 1 23:4 17
2 Blaj 8 5 2 1 19:13 17
3 Timisul Sag 8 5 2 1 10:5 17
4 Unirea Santana 8 5 0 3 15:6 15
5 CSM Deva 8 4 3 1 20:12 15
6 Ghiroda & Giarmata Vii 8 3 3 2 13:12 12
7 Viitorul Arad 8 3 3 2 12:12 12
8 Progresul Pecica 8 3 1 4 15:18 10
9 Metalurgistul Cugir 8 1 3 4 10:14 6
10 Univ. Alba Iulia 8 0 4 4 6:15 4
11 Politehnica Timisoara II 8 1 1 6 9:21 4
12 AFC Nera Bogodinti 8 0 2 6 3:23 2
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 7 (Relegation Group)