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AFC Nera Bogodinti vs Timisul Sag

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 7
Sat, Oct 3, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AFC Nera Bogodinti host Timisul Sag in the Liga 3 - Seria 7. Timisul Sag go into this one as the clear favorite. Timisul Sag have shipped 1.48 goals a game lately, while AFC Nera Bogodinti have conceded 3.17 and scored 0.33. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.02 - 2.23) back Timisul Sag to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
AFC Nera Bogodinti
15%
Draws
85%
Timisul Sag
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Timisul Sag

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Timisul Sag have won more games recently than AFC Nera Bogodinti.
  • Timisul Sag are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 7 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
AFC Nera Bogodinti Clean Sheet 10%
Timisul Sag Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Nera Bogodinti Timisul Sag
Matches Played 6 29
Wins 0 14
Draws 1 5
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 0.33 1.41
Goals Conceded 3.17 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.02 2.23
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Nera Bogodinti 10 / 100
Timisul Sag 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Nera Bogodinti Timisul Sag

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Timisul Sag Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Timisul Sag conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

AFC Nera Bogodinti found the back of the net in 33% of recent matches (6 games).

Away concern: Timisul Sag has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AFC Nera Bogodinti VS Timisul Sag
0.29 Goals Scored 1.75
2.71 Goals Conceded 1.75
71% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 63%
14% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

AFC Nera Bogodinti

(Home)
26 Sept
Unirea Alba-Iulia
10 : 0
AFC Nera Bogodinti
23 Sept
AFC Nera Bogodinti
0 : 3
Metalurgistul Cugir
18 Sept
Ghiroda & Giarmata Vii
2 : 1
AFC Nera Bogodinti
12 Sept
AFC Nera Bogodinti
1 : 2
Blaj
05 Sept
Unirea Santana
2 : 0
AFC Nera Bogodinti
Page 1 of 2

Timisul Sag

(Away)
25 Sept
Timisul Sag
1 : 0
Univ. Alba Iulia
22 Sept
Unirea Alba-Iulia
3 : 0
Timisul Sag
18 Sept
Timisul Sag
3 : 0
Progresul Pecica
11 Sept
Metalurgistul Cugir
0 : 1
Timisul Sag
04 Sept
Timisul Sag
1 : 1
CSM Deva
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blaj 6 5 1 0 16:9 16
2 Timisul Sag 6 4 1 1 8:4 13
3 Unirea Santana 6 4 0 2 13:4 12
4 Unirea Alba-Iulia 6 3 2 1 17:4 11
5 CSM Deva 6 2 3 1 13:11 9
6 Viitorul Arad 6 2 3 1 8:7 9
7 Ghiroda & Giarmata Vii 6 2 3 1 7:7 9
8 Progresul Pecica 6 2 1 3 13:12 7
9 Metalurgistul Cugir 6 1 2 3 9:11 5
10 Univ. Alba Iulia 6 0 3 3 4:12 3
11 Politehnica Timisoara II 6 1 0 5 8:18 3
12 AFC Nera Bogodinti 6 0 1 5 2:19 1
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 7 (Relegation Group)