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AFC Nove Mesto vs Pata - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovakia Slovakia

4. liga - West
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AFC Nove Mesto host Pata in the 4. liga - West. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: AFC Nove Mesto at 1.28 goals for, 1.55 against; Pata at 1.68 for, 1.11 against. Head-to-head, AFC Nove Mesto have won 1 to Pata's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 6, 2026, ending 3:2. Model xG sits at 0.69 vs 1.44, favoring Pata. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
AFC Nove Mesto
20%
Draws
52%
Pata
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pata

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • AFC Nove Mesto haven't matched Pata's recent run of results.
  • 52% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular 4. liga - West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
AFC Nove Mesto Clean Sheet 16%
Pata Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Nove Mesto Pata
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 16
Draws 7 4
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.28 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 4. liga - West
AFC Nove Mesto vs Pata
3:2
Nov 2, 2025 4. liga - West
Pata vs AFC Nove Mesto
5:0
Mar 22, 2025 4. liga - West
AFC Nove Mesto vs Pata
1:1
Aug 18, 2024 4. liga - West
Pata vs AFC Nove Mesto
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Nove Mesto 36 / 100
Pata 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Nove Mesto Pata

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pata Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

AFC Nove Mesto scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Pata conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: AFC Nove Mesto stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AFC Nove Mesto VS Pata
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AFC Nove Mesto

(Home)
02 Oct
AFC Nove Mesto
2 : 0
Kanianka
27 Sept
Stankovce
3 : 2
AFC Nove Mesto
19 Sept
AFC Nove Mesto
0 : 0
Piestany
12 Sept
Spartak Dubnica
2 : 1
AFC Nove Mesto
05 Sept
AFC Nove Mesto
2 : 0
Blava
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Pata

(Away)
04 Oct
Pata
1 : 0
Gbely
26 Sept
Soporna
0 : 0
Pata
20 Sept
Pata
2 : 1
Kanianka
13 Sept
Stankovce
1 : 2
Pata
06 Sept
Pata
1 : 0
Piestany
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