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AFC Porth vs Cwmaman Institute

Wales Wales

Division 1 2011/2012
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AI Match Summary

AFC Porth host Cwmaman Institute in the Division 1 2011/2012. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. AFC Porth have averaged 0.88 scored and 5.25 conceded recently, against Cwmaman Institute's 1.5 scored and 5.5 conceded. Past meetings favor AFC Porth slightly — 2-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 24, 2012, ending 2:0. xG projections (3.19 - 3.38) back Cwmaman Institute to edge this. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
AFC Porth
33%
Draws
40%
Cwmaman Institute
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Cwmaman Institute

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Cwmaman Institute has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to AFC Porth.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Cwmaman Institute.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Division 1 2011/2012 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 94%
Over 4.5 Goals 42%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
AFC Porth Clean Sheet 10%
Cwmaman Institute Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Porth Cwmaman Institute
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 1 6
Draws 1 7
Losses 29 17
Goals Scored 0.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 5.25 5.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 5.25 5.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2012 Division 1
AFC Porth vs Cwmaman Institute
2:0
Aug 20, 2011 Division 1
Cwmaman Institute vs AFC Porth
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Porth 26 / 100
Cwmaman Institute 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Porth Cwmaman Institute

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CWM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AFC Porth scored in 42% of their last 31 games.

Cwmaman Institute let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

AFC Porth went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Cwmaman Institute lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AFC Porth VS Cwmaman Institute
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
5.25 Goals Conceded 5.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
88% Over 3.5 100%