Sport Picks

Canada

NSL Women York Lions Stadium

AFC Toronto W

1 - 1

Montreal Roses FC W

Our Tip

Match Events

46'

Sub

Kang Chae-Rim In: Boychuk T.

Out: Kang Chae-Rim

56'

Brewster J.

61'

Hunter K.

Penalty Missed

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The NSL Women game between AFC Toronto W and Montreal Roses FC W finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

AFC Toronto W

40%

Draws

29%

Montreal Roses FC W

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

AFC Toronto W haven't matched Montreal Roses FC W's recent run of results.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%

AFC Toronto W Clean Sheet 19%

Montreal Roses FC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	AFC Toronto W	Montreal Roses FC W
Matches Played	10	11
Wins	4	6
Draws	3	3
Losses	3	2
Goals Scored	1.38	1.75
Goals Conceded	0.75	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 NSL Women

AFC Toronto W vs Montreal Roses FC W

Possession: 44% - 47% Cards: 3 - 2

1:1

May 10, 2026 NSL Women

AFC Toronto W vs Montreal Roses FC W

Possession: 50% - 41% Cards: 3 - 1

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AFC Toronto W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rowe L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Montreal Roses FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Pechersky E.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Toronto W 32 / 100

Montreal Roses FC W 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AFC Toronto W Montreal Roses FC W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AFC Toronto W found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (10 games).

Montreal Roses FC W let in goals in 64% of their last 11 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: AFC Toronto W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AFC Toronto W VS Montreal Roses FC W

1.38 Goals Scored 1.75

0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25

63% Over 1.5 88%

38% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ottawa Rapid FC W	11	8	1	2	26:13	25
2	Montreal Roses FC W	11	6	3	2	22:11	21
3	AFC Toronto W	10	4	3	3	15:10	15
4	Halifax Tides FC W	11	4	2	5	13:10	14
5	Vancouver Rise FC W	11	4	1	6	17:29	13
6	Calgary Wild FC W	10	0	2	8	8:28	2