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AFC Toronto W vs Calgary Wild FC W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Canada Canada

NSL Women BMO Field, Toronto, ON
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AFC Toronto W host Calgary Wild FC W in the NSL Women. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Calgary Wild FC W have shipped 2.26 goals a game lately, while AFC Toronto W have conceded 0.96 and scored 1.65. Head-to-head, AFC Toronto W have won 3 to Calgary Wild FC W's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 6, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.94 xG vs 1.19) point toward AFC Toronto W. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
AFC Toronto W
35%
Draws
31%
Calgary Wild FC W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Calgary Wild FC W haven't matched AFC Toronto W's recent run of results.
  • AFC Toronto W are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular NSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and AFC Toronto W have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
AFC Toronto W Clean Sheet 20%
Calgary Wild FC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Toronto W Calgary Wild FC W
Matches Played 23 23
Wins 11 4
Draws 7 6
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.65 1.09
Goals Conceded 0.96 2.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 NSL Women
AFC Toronto W vs Calgary Wild FC W
0:0
Aug 1, 2026 NSL Women
Calgary Wild FC W vs AFC Toronto W
0:6
Jul 28, 2026 NSL Women
AFC Toronto W vs Calgary Wild FC W
1:0
May 31, 2026 NSL Women
Calgary Wild FC W vs AFC Toronto W
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Toronto W 49 / 100
Calgary Wild FC W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Toronto W Calgary Wild FC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Toronto W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Calgary Wild FC W has conceded goals in 87% of their last 23 outings.

AFC Toronto W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

AFC Toronto W found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (23 games).

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Scoring Trends

AFC Toronto W VS Calgary Wild FC W
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

AFC Toronto W

(Home)
04 Oct
AFC Toronto W
2 : 1
Vancouver Rise FC W
26 Sept
AFC Toronto W
3 : 0
Ottawa Rapid FC W
19 Sept
Halifax Tides FC W
1 : 1
AFC Toronto W
10 Sept
Montreal Roses FC W
2 : 2
AFC Toronto W
06 Sept
AFC Toronto W
0 : 0
Calgary Wild FC W
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Calgary Wild FC W

(Away)
03 Oct
Halifax Tides FC W
0 : 0
Calgary Wild FC W
27 Sept
Calgary Wild FC W
3 : 1
Vancouver Rise FC W
20 Sept
Ottawa Rapid FC W
3 : 1
Calgary Wild FC W
12 Sept
Calgary Wild FC W
1 : 0
Halifax Tides FC W
06 Sept
AFC Toronto W
0 : 0
Calgary Wild FC W
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montreal Roses FC W 23 11 8 4 40:25 41
2 AFC Toronto W 22 10 7 5 36:21 37
3 Ottawa Rapid FC W 22 11 3 8 42:39 36
4 Vancouver Rise FC W 22 8 3 11 41:47 27
5 Halifax Tides FC W 22 7 5 10 19:19 26
6 Calgary Wild FC W 23 4 6 13 25:52 18
Promotion - NSL Women (Play Offs)