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AFC Toronto W vs Calgary Wild FC W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Canada Canada

NSL Women York Lions Stadium, Toronto, ON
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Sawicki J. In: Stewart T.
Out: Sawicki J.
46'
Sub
O'Neill S. In: Otto T.
Out: O'Neill S.
50' Event
Hunter K.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The NSL Women game between AFC Toronto W and Calgary Wild FC W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AFC Toronto W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
AFC Toronto W
35%
Draws
31%
Calgary Wild FC W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • AFC Toronto W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives AFC Toronto W a 34% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors AFC Toronto W here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
AFC Toronto W Clean Sheet 68%
Calgary Wild FC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Toronto W Calgary Wild FC W
Matches Played 23 23
Wins 11 4
Draws 7 6
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.65 1.09
Goals Conceded 0.96 2.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 NSL Women
AFC Toronto W vs Calgary Wild FC W
0:0
Aug 1, 2026 NSL Women
Calgary Wild FC W vs AFC Toronto W
0:6
Jul 28, 2026 NSL Women
AFC Toronto W vs Calgary Wild FC W
1:0
May 31, 2026 NSL Women
Calgary Wild FC W vs AFC Toronto W
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Toronto W 59 / 100
Calgary Wild FC W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Toronto W Calgary Wild FC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Toronto W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 2:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Calgary Wild FC W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 23 matches.

AFC Toronto W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: AFC Toronto W scored in 78% of their last 23 outings.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

AFC Toronto W VS Calgary Wild FC W
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

AFC Toronto W

(Home)
04 Oct
AFC Toronto W
2 : 1
Vancouver Rise FC W
26 Sept
AFC Toronto W
3 : 0
Ottawa Rapid FC W
19 Sept
Halifax Tides FC W
1 : 1
AFC Toronto W
10 Sept
Montreal Roses FC W
2 : 2
AFC Toronto W
06 Sept
AFC Toronto W
0 : 0
Calgary Wild FC W
Page 1 of 5

Calgary Wild FC W

(Away)
03 Oct
Halifax Tides FC W
0 : 0
Calgary Wild FC W
27 Sept
Calgary Wild FC W
3 : 1
Vancouver Rise FC W
20 Sept
Ottawa Rapid FC W
3 : 1
Calgary Wild FC W
12 Sept
Calgary Wild FC W
1 : 0
Halifax Tides FC W
06 Sept
AFC Toronto W
0 : 0
Calgary Wild FC W
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montreal Roses FC W 23 11 8 4 40:25 41
2 AFC Toronto W 22 10 7 5 36:21 37
3 Ottawa Rapid FC W 22 11 3 8 42:39 36
4 Vancouver Rise FC W 22 8 3 11 41:47 27
5 Halifax Tides FC W 22 7 5 10 19:19 26
6 Calgary Wild FC W 23 4 6 13 25:52 18
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