Sport Picks
AFC Toronto W vs Montreal Roses FC W Prediction & H2H Stats
Canada
NSL Women York Lions Stadium, Toronto, ON 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Kang Chae-Rim In: Boychuk T.
Out: Kang Chae-Rim
56'
56'
Brewster J.
61'
61'
Hunter K.
Penalty Missed
AI Match Summary
The NSL Women game between AFC Toronto W and Montreal Roses FC W finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- AFC Toronto W haven't matched Montreal Roses FC W's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans AFC Toronto W's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
AFC Toronto W Clean Sheet 68%
Montreal Roses FC W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AFC Toronto W | Montreal Roses FC W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 22 | 22 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.64 | 1.82 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.95 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 10, 2026 NSL Women
Montreal Roses FC W vs AFC Toronto W
2:2
Aug 16, 2026 NSL Women
AFC Toronto W vs Montreal Roses FC W
0:2
Jul 23, 2026 NSL Women
Montreal Roses FC W vs AFC Toronto W
0:2
Jun 13, 2026 NSL Women
AFC Toronto W vs Montreal Roses FC W
1:1
May 10, 2026 NSL Women
AFC Toronto W vs Montreal Roses FC W
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AFC Toronto W Compare
Top Goalscorer Rowe L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Montreal Roses FC W Compare
Top Goalscorer Pechersky E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AFC Toronto W 50 / 100
Montreal Roses FC W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AFC Toronto W Montreal Roses FC W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick AFC Toronto W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: AFC Toronto W remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
AFC Toronto W scored in 77% of their last 22 games.
Montreal Roses FC W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 22 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
AFC Toronto W VS Montreal Roses FC W
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
AFC Toronto W
(Home) 26 Sept
AFC Toronto W
3 : 0 Ottawa Rapid FC W
19 Sept
Halifax Tides FC W
1 : 1 AFC Toronto W
10 Sept
Montreal Roses FC W
2 : 2 AFC Toronto W
06 Sept
AFC Toronto W
0 : 0 Calgary Wild FC W
30 Aug
AFC Toronto W
2 : 1 Ottawa Rapid FC W
Page 1 of 5
26 Sept
AFC Toronto W
3 : 0 Ottawa Rapid FC W
06 Sept
AFC Toronto W
0 : 0 Calgary Wild FC W
30 Aug
AFC Toronto W
2 : 1 Ottawa Rapid FC W
16 Aug
AFC Toronto W
0 : 2 Montreal Roses FC W
28 Jul
AFC Toronto W
1 : 0 Calgary Wild FC W
Page 1 of 2
Montreal Roses FC W
(Away) 27 Sept
Halifax Tides FC W
0 : 0 Montreal Roses FC W
19 Sept
Vancouver Rise FC W
2 : 2 Montreal Roses FC W
10 Sept
Montreal Roses FC W
2 : 2 AFC Toronto W
06 Sept
Ottawa Rapid FC W
2 : 3 Montreal Roses FC W
29 Aug
Montreal Roses FC W
1 : 0 Halifax Tides FC W
Page 1 of 5
27 Sept
Halifax Tides FC W
0 : 0 Montreal Roses FC W
19 Sept
Vancouver Rise FC W
2 : 2 Montreal Roses FC W
06 Sept
Ottawa Rapid FC W
2 : 3 Montreal Roses FC W
16 Aug
AFC Toronto W
0 : 2 Montreal Roses FC W
30 Jul
Vancouver Rise FC W
3 : 4 Montreal Roses FC W
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montreal Roses FC W | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 40:25 | 40 |
| 2 | AFC Toronto W | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 36:21 | 37 |
| 3 | Ottawa Rapid FC W | 21 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 42:39 | 35 |
| 4 | Vancouver Rise FC W | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 41:47 | 27 |
| 5 | Halifax Tides FC W | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 19:19 | 25 |
| 6 | Calgary Wild FC W | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 25:52 | 17 |
Promotion - NSL Women (Play Offs)
