Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AFC Toronto W vs Ottawa Rapid FC W

Canada Canada

NSL Women York Lions Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Rowe L.
Assist: Hunter K.
12' Event
Lee Min-a
Assist: Melenhorst K.
46'
Sub
Forbes M. In: Belzile F.
Out: Forbes M.

AI Match Summary

The NSL Women game between AFC Toronto W and Ottawa Rapid FC W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ottawa Rapid FC W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
AFC Toronto W
39%
Draws
30%
Ottawa Rapid FC W
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Ottawa Rapid FC W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular NSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
AFC Toronto W Clean Sheet 15%
Ottawa Rapid FC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Toronto W Ottawa Rapid FC W
Matches Played 10 11
Wins 4 8
Draws 3 1
Losses 3 2
Goals Scored 1.38 2.38
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 NSL Women
AFC Toronto W vs Ottawa Rapid FC W
1:2
Jun 21, 2026 NSL Women
Ottawa Rapid FC W vs AFC Toronto W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AFC Toronto W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rowe L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Ottawa Rapid FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lee Min-a
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pridham D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Toronto W 31 / 100
Ottawa Rapid FC W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Toronto W Ottawa Rapid FC W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OTT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AFC Toronto W scored in 80% of their last 10 outings.

Ottawa Rapid FC W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 11 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

AFC Toronto W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

AFC Toronto W VS Ottawa Rapid FC W
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ottawa Rapid FC W1181226:1325
2Montreal Roses FC W1053221:1118
3AFC Toronto W1043315:1015
4Halifax Tides FC W1042413:914
5Vancouver Rise FC W1141617:2913
6Calgary Wild FC W100288:282