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AFC Toronto W vs Vancouver Rise FC W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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NSL Women York Lions Stadium, Toronto, ON
AFC Toronto W Logo

AFC Toronto W

0 - 3
FT
Vancouver Rise FC W Logo

Vancouver Rise FC W

Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Bout A.
Assist: Quinn R.
8' Event
de Filippo J.
Assist: Quinn R.
11' Event
Tumeth T.
Assist: Reyes C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Vancouver Rise FC W in this NSL Women matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vancouver Rise FC W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
AFC Toronto W
35%
Draws
20%
Vancouver Rise FC W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AFC Toronto W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AFC Toronto W lately — more wins on the board than Vancouver Rise FC W.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on AFC Toronto W taking it.
  • Regular NSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
AFC Toronto W Clean Sheet 14%
Vancouver Rise FC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Toronto W Vancouver Rise FC W
Matches Played 23 27
Wins 11 9
Draws 7 3
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 1.65 1.89
Goals Conceded 0.96 2.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 NSL Women
AFC Toronto W vs Vancouver Rise FC W
2:1
Jul 18, 2026 NSL Women
AFC Toronto W vs Vancouver Rise FC W
0:3
Jun 28, 2026 NSL Women
Vancouver Rise FC W vs AFC Toronto W
1:3
May 23, 2026 NSL Women
Vancouver Rise FC W vs AFC Toronto W
2:1
Apr 25, 2026 NSL Women
Vancouver Rise FC W vs AFC Toronto W
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AFC Toronto W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Vancouver Rise FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bout A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader de Filippo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Toronto W 57 / 100
Vancouver Rise FC W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Toronto W Vancouver Rise FC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Toronto W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Vancouver Rise FC W conceded in 89% of 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Solid form: AFC Toronto W remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

AFC Toronto W's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 23 recent games.

Scoring Trends

AFC Toronto W VS Vancouver Rise FC W
1.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

AFC Toronto W

(Home)
04 Oct
AFC Toronto W
2 : 1
Vancouver Rise FC W
26 Sept
AFC Toronto W
3 : 0
Ottawa Rapid FC W
19 Sept
Halifax Tides FC W
1 : 1
AFC Toronto W
10 Sept
Montreal Roses FC W
2 : 2
AFC Toronto W
06 Sept
AFC Toronto W
0 : 0
Calgary Wild FC W
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Vancouver Rise FC W

(Away)
04 Oct
AFC Toronto W
2 : 1
Vancouver Rise FC W
27 Sept
Calgary Wild FC W
3 : 1
Vancouver Rise FC W
19 Sept
Vancouver Rise FC W
2 : 2
Montreal Roses FC W
13 Sept
Vancouver Rise FC W
4 : 0
Ottawa Rapid FC W
05 Sept
Vancouver Rise FC W
0 : 1
Halifax Tides FC W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montreal Roses FC W 23 11 8 4 40:25 41
2 AFC Toronto W 22 10 7 5 36:21 37
3 Ottawa Rapid FC W 22 11 3 8 42:39 36
4 Vancouver Rise FC W 22 8 3 11 41:47 27
5 Halifax Tides FC W 22 7 5 10 19:19 26
6 Calgary Wild FC W 23 4 6 13 25:52 18
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