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AFC Toronto W vs Vancouver Rise FC W

Canada Canada

NSL Women York Lions Stadium, Toronto, ON
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Bout A.
Assist: Quinn R.
8' Event
de Filippo J.
Assist: Quinn R.
11' Event
Tumeth T.
Assist: Reyes C.

AI Match Summary

Vancouver Rise FC W in this NSL Women matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vancouver Rise FC W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
AFC Toronto W
20%
Draws
38%
Vancouver Rise FC W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AFC Toronto W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vancouver Rise FC W lately — more wins on the board than AFC Toronto W.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on AFC Toronto W taking it.
  • Regular NSL Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
AFC Toronto W Clean Sheet 20%
Vancouver Rise FC W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AFC Toronto W Vancouver Rise FC W
Matches Played 11 16
Wins 4 6
Draws 3 1
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.75 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 NSL Women
AFC Toronto W vs Vancouver Rise FC W
0:3
Jun 28, 2026 NSL Women
Vancouver Rise FC W vs AFC Toronto W
1:3
May 23, 2026 NSL Women
Vancouver Rise FC W vs AFC Toronto W
2:1
Apr 25, 2026 NSL Women
Vancouver Rise FC W vs AFC Toronto W
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AFC Toronto W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Vancouver Rise FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bout A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader de Filippo J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AFC Toronto W 42 / 100
Vancouver Rise FC W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AFC Toronto W Vancouver Rise FC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Vancouver Rise FC W conceded in 88% of 16 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.75 goals.

AFC Toronto W found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (11 games).

Recent resilience: AFC Toronto W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AFC Toronto W VS Vancouver Rise FC W
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

AFC Toronto W

(Home)
18 Jul
AFC Toronto W
0 : 3
Vancouver Rise FC W
11 Jul
AFC Toronto W
1 : 2
Ottawa Rapid FC W
05 Jul
Halifax Tides FC W
0 : 1
AFC Toronto W
28 Jun
Vancouver Rise FC W
1 : 3
AFC Toronto W
21 Jun
Ottawa Rapid FC W
1 : 1
AFC Toronto W
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Vancouver Rise FC W

(Away)
18 Jul
AFC Toronto W
0 : 3
Vancouver Rise FC W
11 Jul
Calgary Wild FC W
2 : 4
Vancouver Rise FC W
04 Jul
Montreal Roses FC W
5 : 1
Vancouver Rise FC W
28 Jun
Vancouver Rise FC W
1 : 3
AFC Toronto W
18 Jun
Halifax Tides FC W
1 : 1
Vancouver Rise FC W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ottawa Rapid FC W13101230:1531
2Montreal Roses FC W1373324:1324
3AFC Toronto W1253417:1318
4Halifax Tides FC W1352615:1217
5Vancouver Rise FC W1351720:3016
6Calgary Wild FC W1202109:322
Promotion - NSL Women (Play Offs)